Miami @ New York Picks & Props
MIA vs NYM Picks
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MIA vs NYM Consensus Picks
72% picking NY Mets
Total PicksMIA 233, NYM 595
64% picking Miami vs NY Mets to go Over
Total PicksMIA 314, NYM 173
MIA vs NYM Props
Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.
Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Pete Alonso projects as the 18th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.
Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an advantage today. Francisco Alvarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Luis Torrens Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Luis Torrens will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Luis Torrens will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When estimating his overall offensive ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. J.D. Martinez will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.
Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.
Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Mark Vientos will have an advantage today. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Mark Vientos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Mark Vientos's 10.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.
Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Harrison Bader will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today. Harrison Bader has compiled a .326 BABIP this year, checking in at the 78th percentile.
Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gordon in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Nick Gordon will have the handedness advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup. Nick Gordon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Josh Bell's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to evaluate power) has been 114 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 83rd percentile.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Jake Burger pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Burger's true offensive ability to be a .328, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .075 gap between that mark and his actual .253 wOBA.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Otto Lopez is very toolsy, grading out in the 77th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.18 ft/sec this year.
Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Jose Iglesias will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo today. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage today. In the past week, Jose Iglesias has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .407.
Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami
When assessing his BABIP ability, Tim Anderson is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Tim Anderson has been unlucky this year, putting up a .194 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .093 disparity.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami
Bryan De La Cruz's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) suggests that Bryan De La Cruz has been lucky this year with his .248 actual batting average.
Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Brandon Nimmo will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Tylor Megill today. Jesus Sanchez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive talent to be a .284, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .077 deviation between that mark and his actual .207 wOBA.
MIA vs NYM Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.10 Units / 29% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.15 Units / 47% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 60 games (-20.90 Units / -30% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 65 games (-18.75 Units / -27% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 47 games (-14.20 Units / -25% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 42 games (-11.50 Units / -25% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 27 away games (-10.45 Units / -36% ROI)
New York Trends
The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 50% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 55% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.05 Units / 15% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 57 games (-17.20 Units / -26% ROI)
The New York Mets have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-17.05 Units / -41% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 57 games (-9.45 Units / -15% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 10 games (-2.45 Units / -22% ROI)
MIA vs NYM Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
NY Mets Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
| 2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
| 3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
| 4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
| 5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
| 6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
| 8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
| 9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
| 10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
| All Mets Money Leaders | |||