Atlanta @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Ryan Mountcastle has gone under 1.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #4 park in the game for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have an edge today. Jarred Kelenic hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF dimensions are the deepest. Albert Suarez will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams today. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 15th-best batter in the majors. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #4 park in the game for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Albert Suarez today. Matt Olson pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #4 park in the game for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #4 park in the game for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast projects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in the majors for righty base hits. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.342) provides evidence that Orlando Arcia has had bad variance on his side this year with his .266 actual wOBA.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in the majors for righty base hits. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Anthony Santander will get to bat from his good side against Max Fried in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Anthony Santander are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in the majors for righty base hits. Jordan Westburg will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in the majors for righty base hits. Sean Murphy hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Sean Murphy has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .355 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .392. Sean Murphy's 15.8% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams today. Baltimore's #3-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Michael Harris II, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II in today's game. This season, there has been a decline in Michael Harris II's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.78 ft/sec last year to 27.99 ft/sec currently. Michael Harris II has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 5.3° mark is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (5th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #4 park in the game for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year. His .266 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .270.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in the majors for righty base hits. Marcell Ozuna's 16.5% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 98th percentile since the start of last season. Marcell Ozuna's 96.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in the majors for righty base hits. James McCann will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. James McCann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. James McCann will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in the majors for righty base hits. Adam Duvall's 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 85th percentile since the start of last season. Adam Duvall's 95.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 89th percentile since the start of last season. Adam Duvall's 28.2° launch angle (a reliable metric to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in MLB: 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in the majors for righty base hits. Ramon Urias will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Ramon Urias has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in the majors for righty base hits. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Max Fried today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Connor Norby's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in the majors for righty base hits. The weather forecast projects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Connor Norby will have an edge in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Austin Hays has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in the majors for righty base hits. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Austin Hays will have an advantage in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in the majors for righty base hits. Jorge Mateo will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Jorge Mateo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.