Houston @ Seattle Picks & Props

J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. J.P. Crawford has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .290 mark is quite a bit lower than his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Abreu has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-best out of every team playing today. Despite posting a .132 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Abreu has suffered from bad luck given the .179 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311. Grading out in the 76th percentile, the hardest ball Jose Abreu has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.3 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. Jose Abreu has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), grading out in the 98th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Dylan Moore will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dylan Moore has been hot in recent games, cruising to a .360 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-best out of every team playing today. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Jeremy Pena grades out in the 86th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .282. With a .310 batting average this year, Jeremy Pena is ranked in the 95th percentile.

Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Mitch Garver will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mitch Garver's speed has increased this year. His 25.58 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.17 ft/sec now. Mitch Garver has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .171 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .213 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dominic Canzone will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Arrighetti today. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Dominic Canzone will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Dominic Canzone has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .287 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .358. Since the start of last season, Dominic Canzone's 11.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.

Josh Rojas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti today. Josh Rojas has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage today.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today. Cal Raleigh's 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .353 — a .062 deviation.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Yordan Alvarez has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-best out of every team playing today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge today. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Luke Raley's 13.2% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 13th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-best out of every team playing today. Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Seattle (#3-worst of all teams on the slate today).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-best out of every team playing today. Jose Altuve's speed has gotten better this season. His 26.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.17 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-best out of every team playing today. Over the last two weeks, Jake Meyers has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .373. Jake Meyers ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

Ty France's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ty France is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today's game.

Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros. Mitch Haniger will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mitch Haniger's true offensive skill to be a .313, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .275 wOBA. Mitch Haniger's 11.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 81st percentile since the start of last season. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Mitch Haniger and his 19.9% rank in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-best out of every team playing today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Bregman's true offensive talent to be a .339, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .069 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .270 wOBA.

The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-best out of every team playing today. Since the start of last season, Victor Caratini has an average exit velocity of 91.3 mph, which ranks among the best in the game at the 87th percentile.

Yainer Diaz's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yainer Diaz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 12th-best out of every team playing today. Yainer Diaz has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .251 BA is deflated compared to his .266 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Yainer Diaz's 11.9% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Mauricio Dubon has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-best out of every team playing today. Mauricio Dubon has posted a .293 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Checking in at the 96th percentile, Mauricio Dubon sports a .290 batting average since the start of last season.