Arizona @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 13th-strongest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. As it relates to his batting average, Eugenio Suarez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .217 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .224.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Given Christian Scott's large platoon split, Joc Pederson will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Joc Pederson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Among all the teams in action today, the 13th-strongest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Christian Walker has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .267 rate is a good deal lower than his .285 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Given Christian Scott's large platoon split, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) has been 109.4 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is "too high" (above 38°), which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to easy outs. His 14.5% "too-high" rate since the start of last season grades out in the 24th percentile.

Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Because of Christian Scott's large platoon split, Corbin Carroll will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Corbin Carroll has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. J.D. Martinez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Posting a .349 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, J.D. Martinez is positioned in the 81st percentile for hitting ability.

D.J. Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, D.J. Stewart will have the upper hand in today's game. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. D.J. Stewart's 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Brett Baty's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's game. Brett Baty has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Omar Narvaez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Omar Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Omar Narvaez has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .234 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Among all the teams in action today, the 13th-strongest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.309) suggests that Kevin Newman has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .254 actual batting average. Kevin Newman has recorded a .339 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today. Mark Vientos's 10.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) is in the 77th percentile since the start of last season. Ranked in the 95th percentile, Mark Vientos has one of the highest average exit velocities in the majors since the start of last season (92.5-mph).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage in today's game. Starling Marte has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .301 rate is deflated compared to his .438 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Francisco Lindor has been unlucky this year, putting up a .284 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .335 — a .051 difference.

Gabriel Moreno's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 13th-strongest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Gabriel Moreno has put up a .283 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Given Christian Scott's large platoon split, Jake McCarthy will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Jake McCarthy has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Among all the teams in action today, the 13th-strongest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Ketel Marte has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .274 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day. Pavin Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Scott in today's game... and even better, Scott has a large platoon split. Pavin Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 13th-strongest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Looking at the top 5% of Pavin Smith's batted balls by exit velocity, their 108.6 mph average places him among the league's elite, ranking in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

Harrison Bader has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.