Seattle @ Washington Picks & Props

Nationals Park profiles as the #27 field in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Joey Meneses will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Joey Meneses has put up a .287 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Joey Meneses's 5.3% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 23rd percentile among his peers. Joey Meneses's 90.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to assess power) grades out in the 20th percentile since the start of last season.

Julio Rodriguez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today. Nationals Park profiles as the #27 field in MLB for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Julio Rodriguez will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today's game. Julio Rodriguez is in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (11.7% rate since the start of last season).

Nationals Park projects as the #27 field in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Luis Garcia has been lucky this year, compiling a .334 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .027 deviation. Luis Garcia's 4.4° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 5th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Jesse Winker will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .266 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jorge Polanco has had bad variance on his side given the .060 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326. Jorge Polanco has notched a .355 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nationals Park projects as the #27 field in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Despite posting a .330 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes CJ Abrams has been very fortunate given the .024 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306. CJ Abrams's 87.3-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in baseball since the start of last season: 18th percentile. CJ Abrams is in the 22nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (39.9% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of CJ Abrams's launch angle since the start of last season (29.9°) is in the 13th percentile. A high figure like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.

J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Williams today... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split. J.P. Crawford may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Luke Raley is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Luke Raley will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.

The 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Josh Rojas will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Rojas has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Josh Rojas has compiled a .293 batting average this year, ranking in the 88th percentile.

Mitch Garver is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Mitch Garver's speed has improved this year. His 25.58 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.21 ft/sec now. Mitch Garver has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .179 mark is deflated compared to his .213 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Mitch Garver's 12.4% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 84th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Joey Gallo will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert today. Joey Gallo pulls many of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Joey Gallo will hold that advantage today. Joey Gallo has been unlucky this year, putting up a .252 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .050 disparity.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Logan Gilbert. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .210 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has suffered from bad luck given the .090 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh's 12.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 85th percentile since the start of last season. Checking in at the 80th percentile, the hardest ball Cal Raleigh has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Dylan Moore has been hot recently, cruising to a .362 wOBA over the past two weeks. Dylan Moore has put up a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Jacob Young has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jacob Young has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .261 figure is quite a bit lower than his .285 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage today.

Dominic Canzone is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Dominic Canzone will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Dominic Canzone is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP.

Eddie Rosario has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Eddie Rosario will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Eddie Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup.