New York @ St. Louis Picks & Props
NYM vs STL Picks
MLB PicksCheck out all baseball picks and predictions
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
NYM vs STL Consensus Picks
More Consensus
65% picking St. Louis
Total PicksNYM 255, STL 472
NYM vs STL Props
Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Victor Scott hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Victor Scott will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 100th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.37 ft/sec this year, Victor Scott is notably fast.
Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jose Iglesias is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup. Dingers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in the majors. Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage against Jose Iglesias today. Typically, hitters like Jose Iglesias who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Andre Pallante. Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.
Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.2-mph over the course of the season to 90.9-mph lately.
Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. With a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, J.D. Martinez grades out in the 78th percentile for offensive skills.
Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Last season, Francisco Lindor had an average launch angle of 13.4° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 19°.
Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Tyrone Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His .292 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .327.
Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Pete Alonso has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past week.
Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 16.9% this year. Mark Vientos has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 16.9% seasonal rate to 24% in the last two weeks.
Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 44.2% on the season to 71.4% over the last week. Grading out in the 77th percentile, Harrison Bader sports a .321 BABIP this year.
Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 15th-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage today.
Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Brendan Donovan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) implies that Brendan Donovan has been unlucky this year with his .317 actual wOBA. Sporting a 1.87 K/BB rate this year, Brendan Donovan has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Starling Marte's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.423) provides evidence that Starling Marte has had bad variance on his side this year with his .308 actual wOBA. Starling Marte has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), checking in at the 80th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.
Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Carlson in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jose Quintana. Dylan Carlson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Carlson has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .284 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.
Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage today. In the last week's worth of games, Alec Burleson's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.1%.
Pedro Pages Total Hits Props • St. Louis

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Pedro Pages will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Pedro Pages hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Pedro Pages has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph average.
Jose Fermin Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Jose Fermin is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jose Fermin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today. Jose Fermin will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Jose Fermin has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .292 mark is deflated compared to his .335 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesse Winker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. Jesse Winker has posted a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.
Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 14th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Sporting a .334 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Francisco Alvarez is positioned in the 81st percentile. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Francisco Alvarez sports a .338 BABIP this year.
Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul Goldschmidt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Ivan Herrera Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Ivan Herrera has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Ivan Herrera will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game. Ivan Herrera has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 26.72 ft/sec to 27.55 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).
Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today. In terms of his batting average, Brett Baty has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .223 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260. Brett Baty's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 113.7 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile.
Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • St. Louis

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Tommy Pham will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.
Omar Narváez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Omar Narvaez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.305) provides evidence that Omar Narvaez has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .247 actual wOBA. Omar Narvaez ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (27.9% rate since the start of last season).
Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • NY Mets

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Joey Wendle will have the upper hand in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Joey Wendle has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .216 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.
NYM vs STL Trends
New York Trends
The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 46 games (+11.75 Units / 19% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 61 of their last 102 games (+12.20 Units / 10% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 53 games (+9.40 Units / 14% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 70 games (+9.20 Units / 12% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 63 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 104 games (-27.95 Units / -23% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 104 games (-16.80 Units / -15% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 57 games (-11.70 Units / -17% ROI)
The New York Mets have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 91 games (-5.85 Units / -5% ROI)
St. Louis Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.65 Units / 47% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 37 games at home (+3.05 Units / 7% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 15% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.55 Units / 9% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 42 games (-15.00 Units / -33% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 17 games (-4.25 Units / -21% ROI)
NYM vs STL Top User Picks
More PicksNY Mets Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
All Mets Money Leaders |
St. Louis Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | alltalc | 7-3-0 | +20715 |
2 | Jackson2399 | 7-3-0 | +17017 |
3 | deweyay9 | 5-5-0 | +16133 |
4 | steelsteve | 5-5-0 | +14620 |
5 | mrmac4224 | 6-4-0 | +13709 |
6 | Jerrybook | 9-1-0 | +13100 |
7 | cheeser | 7-3-0 | +12475 |
8 | mikers | 9-1-0 | +12375 |
9 | northlv6238 | 7-3-0 | +11580 |
10 | YAL15M | 6-4-0 | +10655 |
All Cardinals Money Leaders |