New York @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

In the majors, Tropicana Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB.

Richie Palacios is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Richie Palacios will have the upper hand today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Richie Palacios can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Richie Palacios pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today. Randy Arozarena has been unlucky this year, posting a .225 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .113 deviation.

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has been very fortunate this year. His .253 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .227. Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

The #3 field in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. Luis Severino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz today. Yandy Diaz's quickness has declined this year. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.39 ft/sec now. Yandy Diaz and his 5° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

The #3 field in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. Hitting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Amed Rosario will have a disadvantage in today's game. Today, Amed Rosario is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.8% rate (99th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Francisco Lindor's true offensive talent to be a .337, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .053 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .284 wOBA.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Harold Ramirez is projected as the 16th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Harold Ramirez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Harold Ramirez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Harold Ramirez will hold that advantage today.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44.5% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Isaac Paredes's 22.1° launch angle (an advanced metric to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in baseball: 99th percentile.

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Ben Rortvedt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ben Rortvedt can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Ben Rortvedt will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Ben Rortvedt has been hot recently, posting a .374 wOBA in the past 14 days.