Pittsburgh @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. Francisco Lindor's speed has dropped off this year. His 28.16 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.66 ft/sec now. With a .263 BABIP since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor finds himself in the 10th percentile.

This matchup is expected to have the 9th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Michael A. Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Since the start of last season, Michael A. Taylor's 14.3% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 91st percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Michael A. Taylor's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 97th percentile at 96.7 mph. Michael A. Taylor has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 17.9° mark is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (94th percentile).

Rowdy Tellez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Adrian Houser in today's game. Rowdy Tellez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.7% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Citi Field grades out as the #30 park in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output. Martin Perez will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Nimmo in today's matchup. This year, there has been a decline in Brandon Nimmo's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28 ft/sec last year to 26.67 ft/sec currently. Brandon Nimmo has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 8.2° mark is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (23rd percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Starling Marte will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today. Jeff McNeil has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 89th percentile with a 1.5 K/BB rate.

This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .283 mark is a fair amount lower than his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Brett Baty is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brett Baty has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brett Baty will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Jared Triolo is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Jared Triolo grades out in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (52.4% rate since the start of last season).

Oneil Cruz's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today's game. Oneil Cruz has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Adrian Houser. Bryan Reynolds has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage today. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jack Suwinski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser today. Extreme flyball batters like Jack Suwinski tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Adrian Houser.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ke'Bryan Hayes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Connor Joe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. In the last 14 days, Connor Joe has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .373. Connor Joe's 16.3° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in Major League Baseball: 79th percentile.

This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez's 12.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Andrew McCutchen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Harrison Bader will have the handedness advantage over Martin Perez in today's game. Harrison Bader hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Harrison Bader has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .272 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297.

This matchup is expected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have the upper hand today. Tyrone Taylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Tyrone Taylor will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Tyrone Taylor's 17.8° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the league: 85th percentile.