MIL +136 o6.5
CHC -148 u6.5
HOU +139 o7.0
DET -152 u7.0
TOR -148 o8.0
PIT +136 u8.0
STL +127 o8.0
MIA -138 u8.0
NYM -191 o9.0
WAS +174 u9.0
SEA +184 o8.0
PHI -202 u8.0
BAL +121 o9.0
BOS -131 u9.0
CHW +142 o9.0
ATL -155 u9.0
NYY -122 o8.0
TB +113 u8.0
TEX -103 o8.5
KC -105 u8.5
ATH +122 o8.5
MIN -132 u8.5
MIL -109 o7.0
CHC +101 u7.0
LAD -270 o12.0
COL +241 u12.0
CIN -127 o8.5
LAA +117 u8.5
CLE +109 o8.5
AZ -118 u8.5
SF +191 o8.0
SD -210 u8.0
ABC

Texas @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Evan Carter Total Hits Props • Texas

Evan Carter
E. Carter
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Evan Carter will have the upper hand in today's game.

Evan Carter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Evan Carter will have the upper hand in today's game.

Harold Ramirez Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Harold Ramirez
H. Ramirez
designated hitter DH • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nathan Eovaldi will hold the platoon advantage against Harold Ramirez in today's matchup. Today, Harold Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.8% rate (96th percentile). Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.

Harold Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nathan Eovaldi will hold the platoon advantage against Harold Ramirez in today's matchup. Today, Harold Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.8% rate (96th percentile). Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's game.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Texas

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Robbie Grossman Total Hits Props • Texas

Robbie Grossman
R. Grossman
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Robbie Grossman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Robbie Grossman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Robbie Grossman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Robbie Grossman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Robbie Grossman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

Corey Seager
C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Corey Seager hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 9th-deepest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Corey Seager hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 9th-deepest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Jung
J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Jung's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Josh Jung's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

Jonah Heim
J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jonah Heim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jonah Heim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jose Siri
J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Jose Siri will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Jose Siri will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's game.

Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Manuel Margot
M. Margot
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Manuel Margot's batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Manuel Margot will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Manuel Margot

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Manuel Margot's batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Manuel Margot will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

Marcus Semien
M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Marcus Semien's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Marcus Semien's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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// Scripts for MLB A/B test