New York @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 91%. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Butto today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 91%. Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 91%. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Butto in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 91%. Brett Baty has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Brett Baty has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in MLB for RHB BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. Extreme groundball batters like Ronny Mauricio are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ronny Mauricio in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Ronny Mauricio has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power).

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest humidity of the day at 91%. Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage over Jose Butto in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Garrett Stubbs can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Garrett Stubbs will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in MLB for RHB BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Francisco Lindor's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 93.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 87.2-mph over the last 14 days. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 41.6% on the season to 27.5% in the past two weeks.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 91%. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Jose Butto in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 91%. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today. Nick Castellanos has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest humidity of the day at 91%. Johan Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Johan Rojas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.2% up to 10%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 91%. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 91%. Francisco Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Francisco Alvarez pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Francisco Alvarez's launch angle in recent games (31.2° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 12.2° seasonal mark.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the league — generally good for dingers. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 91%. Tim Locastro will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest humidity of the day at 91%. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best batter in baseball. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 91%. Pete Alonso will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Bryson Stott's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 91%. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Jose Butto in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.