Seattle @ Texas Picks & Props
SEA vs TEX Picks
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SEA vs TEX Consensus Picks
SEA vs TEX Props
Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Texas
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage today.
Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst venue in the game for RHB base hits. The 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Globe Life Field. Nathan Eovaldi will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Rodriguez today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, going from 39.9% on the season to 21.4% in the past 7 days.
Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas
The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Corey Seager hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .430 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has been lucky given the .036 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .394.
Evan Carter Total Hits Props • Texas
Evan Carter's BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Evan Carter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup. Evan Carter will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Evan Carter has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the last week.
Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Sporting a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Adolis Garcia grades out in the 80th percentile for hitting ability.
Mike Ford Total Hits Props • Seattle
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Mike Ford will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi today. Mike Ford has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last season's 88.8-mph figure. Mike Ford has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 84th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Mike Ford's 17.9% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 97th percentile this year.
Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Seattle
Jarred Kelenic is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jarred Kelenic will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Jarred Kelenic has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 31.1% to 52.4% this season. Checking in at the 93rd percentile, Jarred Kelenic sports a .369 BABIP this year.
Josh Rojas Total Hits Props • Seattle
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Josh Rojas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 86.3-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 13°, Josh Rojas has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 38.7° angle over the last week. Josh Rojas has been unlucky this year, posting a .280 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .024 discrepancy.
SEA vs TEX Trends
Seattle Trends
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+14.64 Units / 18% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 38 away games (+12.27 Units / 27% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 away games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+10.24 Units / 11% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the Team Total Under in 70 of their last 149 games (-21.56 Units / -12% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-21.34 Units / -23% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 25 games (-18.40 Units / -58% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 114 games (-15.75 Units / -13% ROI)
Texas Trends
The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 76 of their last 138 games (+20.04 Units / 10% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 146 games (+18.73 Units / 11% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games at home (+18.30 Units / 22% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.50 Units / 45% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games at home (+13.73 Units / 16% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 64 of their last 146 games (-32.60 Units / -19% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 147 games (-24.90 Units / -15% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the Team Total Under in 67 of their last 146 games (-24.51 Units / -14% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 94 games (-19.80 Units / -15% ROI)
SEA vs TEX Top User Picks
Seattle Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PaPe454 | 6-4-0 | +19444 |
| 2 | dotlife162 | 9-1-0 | +19315 |
| 3 | Roundrobinking | 6-4-0 | +17515 |
| 4 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +15505 |
| 5 | KingScorpio | 3-7-0 | +15095 |
| 6 | regger22 | 6-4-0 | +13250 |
| 7 | jr5601 | 4-5-1 | +12525 |
| 8 | adon131 | 5-5-0 | +12520 |
| 9 | CJONES1068 | 7-3-0 | +11975 |
| 10 | fragma8023 | 6-4-0 | +11743 |
| All Mariners Money Leaders | |||
Texas Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KingScorpio | 7-3-0 | +24325 |
| 2 | mojonaciosoy | 8-2-0 | +20585 |
| 3 | bigosports12 | 7-3-0 | +19655 |
| 4 | hennryh | 7-3-0 | +17895 |
| 5 | Whiteyr | 4-6-0 | +17780 |
| 6 | MexicanBettor | 5-5-0 | +16866 |
| 7 | cameleon53 | 6-4-0 | +16495 |
| 8 | DODBUCKSTEEL | 5-5-0 | +15755 |
| 9 | chensucht | 6-4-0 | +15755 |
| 10 | dude18555 | 6-4-0 | +15415 |
| All Rangers Money Leaders | |||