Atlanta @ Washington Picks & Props
ATL vs WAS Picks
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ATL vs WAS Consensus Picks
ATL vs WAS Props
Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington
Lane Thomas's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today's game. Lane Thomas has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 94.6-mph. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 38.8% to 44.3%.
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
Jacob Young's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jacob Young has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Jacob Young tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Strider. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 86.1 mph to 81 mph.
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. CJ Abrams will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. CJ Abrams has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 13.2% in the past two weeks.
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the league. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage over Joan Adon in today's matchup. Matt Olson pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Matt Olson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.2-mph average to last year's 95.1-mph EV.
Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Marcell Ozuna has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph average. In the last 7 days, Marcell Ozuna's 52.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.2%. Sporting a .371 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna finds himself in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability.
ATL vs WAS Trends
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 97 games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 146 games (+18.95 Units / 12% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 97 games (+9.70 Units / 5% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 away games (+8.60 Units / 33% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.88 Units / 17% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 145 games (-34.00 Units / -21% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 20 away games (-11.15 Units / -51% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 8 games (-2.55 Units / -25% ROI)
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 83 games (+19.45 Units / 22% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.14 Units / 20% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 149 games (+0.80 Units / 0% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 56 games (-12.43 Units / -19% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 123 games (-11.65 Units / -9% ROI)
ATL vs WAS Top User Picks
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||