Detroit @ Los Angeles Picks & Props
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DET vs LAD Props
Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
When assessing his batting average skill, Amed Rosario is projected as the 20th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Amed Rosario will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today. Amed Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team in action today.
Parker Meadows Total Hits Props • Detroit
Parker Meadows will hold the platoon advantage against Lance Lynn in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.310) may lead us to conclude that Parker Meadows has suffered from bad luck this year with his .280 actual wOBA.
Tyler Nevin Total Hits Props • Detroit
When it comes to plate discipline, Tyler Nevin's skill is quite impressive, posting a 2.32 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 75th percentile.
Andre Lipcius Total Hits Props • Detroit
Andre Lipcius has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Chris Taylor Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Chris Taylor will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team in action today. Chris Taylor will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Chris Taylor's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (26°) is quite a bit better than his 19.4° figure last season.
Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Javier Baez has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 4.2% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the last 14 days. Javier Baez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 87.8-mph mark. Javier Baez has been unlucky this year, posting a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .038 discrepancy.
Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Spencer Torkelson has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 8.4% rate last year to 14.8% this season. Over the last 7 days, Spencer Torkelson's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%. Spencer Torkelson has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .334 figure is considerably lower than his .363 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit
Jake Rogers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Jake Rogers has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 95.8-mph. In terms of his batting average, Jake Rogers has suffered from bad luck this year. His .216 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .234. This year, Jake Rogers's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 93rd percentile at 95.8 mph.
Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Kike Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Kike Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team in action today. Kike Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Kike Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 39.1% on the season to 61.5% over the last 14 days.
Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Miguel Rojas will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team in action today. Miguel Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Miguel Rojas has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last season's 86.7-mph average.
Miguel Cabrera Total Hits Props • Detroit
Miguel Cabrera is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. In notching a .319 BABIP this year, Miguel Cabrera has performed in the 75th percentile.
James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
James Outman has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
DET vs LAD Trends
Detroit Trends
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 72 away games (+16.55 Units / 22% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 41 away games (+14.10 Units / 30% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 71 away games (+12.93 Units / 16% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 away games (+9.49 Units / 19% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 62 games (-17.00 Units / -25% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 62 away games (-15.80 Units / -21% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only hit the Team Total Over in 73 of their last 149 games (-15.02 Units / -8% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have only covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 107 games (-7.40 Units / -5% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 70 of their last 118 games (+24.75 Units / 17% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 76 of their last 128 games (+25.20 Units / 18% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 63 games (+18.20 Units / 18% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games at home (+6.99 Units / 9% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.78 Units / 21% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 140 games (-37.80 Units / -25% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 65 games at home (-17.85 Units / -23% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 48 games at home (-8.77 Units / -10% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 23 games (-7.50 Units / -27% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 48 games at home (-7.19 Units / -11% ROI)
DET vs LAD Top User Picks
Detroit Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | salgundy | 2-8-0 | +20490 |
| 2 | PaPe454 | 8-2-0 | +19591 |
| 3 | WiNNipeg1973 | 6-4-0 | +18000 |
| 4 | vlkvlk2012 | 6-4-0 | +16650 |
| 5 | redwingfanattic | 4-6-0 | +16615 |
| 6 | unbuckle | 7-3-0 | +16170 |
| 7 | greekbanker | 1-9-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | jakringle | 6-4-0 | +15215 |
| 9 | Brayy_Wyatt | 4-6-0 | +15125 |
| 10 | DenverFlash | 7-3-0 | +15069 |
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||