Cincinnati @ New York Picks & Props
CIN vs NYM Picks
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CIN vs NYM Consensus Picks
CIN vs NYM Props
Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Spencer Steer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Spencer Steer tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.
Ronny Mauricio Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Extreme groundball batters like Ronny Mauricio usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene. Ronny Mauricio will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Ronny Mauricio has hit one of the hardest balls in the game over the last two weeks — 117.3-mph — which is a good proxy for recent form and raw power. The standard deviation of Ronny Mauricio's launch angle has been very consistent recently (36.9° in the past 7 days), which is a proxy for reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.
Omar Narvaez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Omar Narvaez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Omar Narvaez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Omar Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
DJ Stewart Total Hits Props • NY Mets
D.J. Stewart has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. D.J. Stewart will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so D.J. Stewart has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so T.J. Friedl stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. T.J. Friedl hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Tyler Stephenson will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mark Vientos has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.5-mph figure. Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos given the .052 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.
Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Brett Baty has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
Rafael Ortega Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Rafael Ortega has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
CIN vs NYM Trends
Cincinnati Trends
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 53 away games (+22.45 Units / 41% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 90 of their last 147 games (+23.25 Units / 12% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 58 games (+18.30 Units / 29% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 57 away games (+14.35 Units / 21% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.74 Units / 47% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 58 games (-24.30 Units / -38% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 57 away games (-22.00 Units / -34% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 20 games (-7.21 Units / -32% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 9 away games (-7.14 Units / -63% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 1 of their last 9 away games (-4.87 Units / -52% ROI)
New York Trends
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games at home (+18.65 Units / 24% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games at home (+14.78 Units / 21% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games at home (+9.10 Units / 15% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games at home (+6.82 Units / 11% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 125 games (-34.75 Units / -21% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 138 games (-32.35 Units / -21% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 52 games at home (-14.05 Units / -24% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 2 of their last 10 games at home (-7.61 Units / -64% ROI)
CIN vs NYM Top User Picks
Cincinnati Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLBFan8848 | 4-6-0 | +16975 |
| 2 | samua | 4-6-0 | +16620 |
| 3 | theSleeper | 5-5-0 | +15590 |
| 4 | sprtnt1 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 8-1-1 | +13865 |
| 6 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13531 |
| 7 | ASDFJKL123 | 5-4-1 | +13198 |
| 8 | stranger28 | 8-2-0 | +13139 |
| 9 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +13060 |
| 10 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 6-4-0 | +12725 |
| All Reds Money Leaders | |||
NY Mets Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
| 2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
| 3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
| 4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
| 5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
| 6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
| 8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
| 9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
| 10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
| All Mets Money Leaders | |||