Seattle @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props
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SEA vs TB Props
Josh Rojas Total Hits Props • Seattle
Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale today. Josh Rojas has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the last 14 days, Josh Rojas has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 35° compared to his seasonal mark of 10.1°.
Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today's game... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Luke Raley's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 94.3 mph to 89.4 mph.
Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Taylor Walls has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 90-mph. In the last week, Taylor Walls's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.8%.
Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Siri will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Last season, Jose Siri had an average launch angle of 11.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 19.9°. Over the past 14 days, Jose Siri's 47.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.1%.
Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Seattle
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 35.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.9°. Despite posting a .317 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eugenio Suarez has experienced some negative variance given the .033 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .350.
Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle
The #3 field in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Aaron Civale will have the handedness advantage over Julio Rodriguez today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Mike Ford Total Hits Props • Seattle
Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Civale today. Mike Ford pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Mike Ford has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 20% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 14 days. In the last 7 days, Mike Ford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph of late. Mike Ford has put up a .366 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Josh Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.
SEA vs TB Trends
Seattle Trends
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 61 games (+14.50 Units / 16% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.28 Units / 37% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+14.19 Units / 24% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games (+10.34 Units / 13% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 65 games (-19.47 Units / -26% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 136 games (-19.45 Units / -12% ROI)
The Seattle Mariners have only hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 101 games (-12.80 Units / -12% ROI)
Tampa Bay Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 70 games at home (+14.20 Units / 18% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games at home (+10.32 Units / 12% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.49 Units / 34% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 73 games at home (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 73 games at home (+9.35 Units / 7% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 76 games (-28.67 Units / -30% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 72 games at home (-23.47 Units / -26% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 69 games (-23.45 Units / -22% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 72 games at home (-21.30 Units / -27% ROI)
SEA vs TB Top User Picks
Seattle Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PaPe454 | 6-4-0 | +19444 |
| 2 | dotlife162 | 9-1-0 | +19315 |
| 3 | Roundrobinking | 6-4-0 | +17515 |
| 4 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +15505 |
| 5 | KingScorpio | 3-7-0 | +15095 |
| 6 | regger22 | 6-4-0 | +13250 |
| 7 | jr5601 | 4-5-1 | +12525 |
| 8 | adon131 | 5-5-0 | +12520 |
| 9 | CJONES1068 | 7-3-0 | +11975 |
| 10 | fragma8023 | 6-4-0 | +11743 |
| All Mariners Money Leaders | |||
Tampa Bay Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | funaki | 7-3-0 | +19280 |
| 2 | pokersquirrel | 2-7-1 | +17755 |
| 3 | kowalabear | 8-2-0 | +15775 |
| 4 | vladislav1968 | 5-4-1 | +15330 |
| 5 | kenpitch | 5-4-1 | +13015 |
| 6 | Smmiou07 | 7-2-1 | +12845 |
| 7 | adgadg222 | 5-4-1 | +12550 |
| 8 | Mexicali72 | 4-6-0 | +11420 |
| 9 | brandydump1 | 6-4-0 | +11345 |
| 10 | mm76ers | 5-5-0 | +11325 |
| All Rays Money Leaders | |||