Seattle @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. George Kirby will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Harold Ramirez in today's matchup. Harold Ramirez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 9th-deepest CF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.300) implies that Harold Ramirez has had some very good luck this year with his .336 actual wOBA.

The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. George Kirby will hold the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz today. Yandy Diaz has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.4-mph dropping to 84.3-mph in the past week. Compared to his seasonal mark of 5.7°, Yandy Diaz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.8°) over the past 14 days. Yandy Diaz has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .388 rate is quite a bit higher than his .367 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Dylan Moore has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.1% rate last year to 22.2% this year. This season, Dylan Moore has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.7 mph compared to last year's 92.4 mph mark. Compared to last season, Dylan Moore has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 20% to 24.6% this season. When it comes to his batting average, Dylan Moore has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .221 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Luke Raley has notched a .366 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage over Taj Bradley in today's game. Mike Ford pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Mike Ford has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 20% seasonal rate to 36.8% over the last 14 days. In the past 7 days, Mike Ford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.6°, Mike Ford has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.9° angle in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jose Siri has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.3% rate last year to 13.7% this season.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Isaac Paredes's launch angle from last year's 15.5° to 22.5° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Teoscar Hernandez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Teoscar Hernandez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 14.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Teoscar Hernandez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91-mph EV.

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Dominic Canzone has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days. Dominic Canzone has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 92.8-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Dominic Canzone's launch angle in recent games (22.5° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 16.9° seasonal mark.