St. Louis @ Atlanta Picks & Props

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Adam Wainwright Ozzie Albies's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 88.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 82.4-mph in the past 14 days. In the past two weeks, Ozzie Albies's 7.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.8%. Checking in at the 12th percentile, Ozzie Albies has posted a .266 BABIP this year.

The #8 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's game.

19% of the time that Eddie Rosario has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Eddie Rosario has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 10.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Eddie Rosario's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 16.1% on the season to 0% in the last week. Eddie Rosario has been lucky this year, notching a .340 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .018 difference.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #8 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Travis d'Arnaud has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (69% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game. The 3rd-deepest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park. Adam Wainwright will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Travis d'Arnaud in today's matchup. Ranking in the 20th percentile for Sprint Speed at 26.09 ft/sec this year, Travis d'Arnaud is not very toolsy.

The #8 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Michael Harris II is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game. Today, Michael Harris II is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.6% rate (86th percentile). Michael Harris II's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (4.8°) is quite a bit lower than his 8.2° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The #8 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The #8 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Andrew Knizner will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's game.

Richie Palacios has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.