St. Louis @ Atlanta Picks & Props
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STL vs ATL Props
Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Adam Wainwright Ozzie Albies's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 88.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 82.4-mph in the past 14 days. In the past two weeks, Ozzie Albies's 7.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.8%. Checking in at the 12th percentile, Ozzie Albies has posted a .266 BABIP this year.
Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The #8 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's game.
Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta
19% of the time that Eddie Rosario has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Eddie Rosario has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 10.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Eddie Rosario's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 16.1% on the season to 0% in the last week. Eddie Rosario has been lucky this year, notching a .340 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .018 difference.
Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • St. Louis
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #8 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Travis d'Arnaud Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Travis d'Arnaud has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (69% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game. The 3rd-deepest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park. Adam Wainwright will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Travis d'Arnaud in today's matchup. Ranking in the 20th percentile for Sprint Speed at 26.09 ft/sec this year, Travis d'Arnaud is not very toolsy.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The #8 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Michael Harris II is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game. Today, Michael Harris II is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.6% rate (86th percentile). Michael Harris II's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (4.8°) is quite a bit lower than his 8.2° mark last season.
Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The #8 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Andrew Knizner Total Hits Props • St. Louis
The #8 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Andrew Knizner will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's game.
Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • St. Louis
Richie Palacios has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
STL vs ATL Trends
St. Louis Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 away games (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 away games (+8.89 Units / 24% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 68 away games (+8.50 Units / 11% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 69 games (+6.35 Units / 7% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.19 Units / 65% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 136 games (-33.55 Units / -19% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 68 away games (-18.60 Units / -23% ROI)
The St. Louis Cardinals have only hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 124 games (-11.35 Units / -8% ROI)
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 77 of their last 134 games (+13.64 Units / 6% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 80 games (+17.39 Units / 18% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 84 of their last 138 games (+15.98 Units / 9% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.15 Units / 29% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games at home (+9.25 Units / 13% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Team Total Under in 60 of their last 138 games (-29.51 Units / -18% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 65 games at home (-15.75 Units / -22% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 38 games at home (-11.35 Units / -25% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games at home (-8.25 Units / -18% ROI)
STL vs ATL Top User Picks
St. Louis Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | alltalc | 7-3-0 | +20715 |
| 2 | Jackson2399 | 7-3-0 | +17017 |
| 3 | deweyay9 | 5-5-0 | +16133 |
| 4 | steelsteve | 5-5-0 | +14620 |
| 5 | mrmac4224 | 6-4-0 | +13709 |
| 6 | Jerrybook | 9-1-0 | +13100 |
| 7 | cheeser | 7-3-0 | +12475 |
| 8 | mikers | 9-1-0 | +12375 |
| 9 | northlv6238 | 7-3-0 | +11580 |
| 10 | YAL15M | 6-4-0 | +10655 |
| All Cardinals Money Leaders | |||
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||