Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props
MIL vs PIT Picks
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MIL vs PIT Consensus Picks
MIL vs PIT Props
Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liover Peguero in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Liover Peguero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences in the league — generally bad for homers. Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage against William Contreras today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today's matchup. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 44.4% to 36.1%.
Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Jack Suwinski is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta today.
Alika Williams Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alika Williams will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Christian Yelich is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Pittsburgh (#3-best of all teams on the slate today). Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Yelich today. Christian Yelich has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week.
Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
PNC Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller today. In the past 14 days, Brice Turang's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.8%.
Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
PNC Park profiles as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Over the past week, Tyrone Taylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 103.8-mph in recent games. Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .267 rate is deflated compared to his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Joshua Palacios Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Josh Palacios is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Palacios will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Peralta in today's game.
Miguel Andujar Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Miguel Andujar has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
MIL vs PIT Trends
Milwaukee Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.18 Units / 41% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 43% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.78 Units / 42% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.00 Units / 29% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 116 games (-23.34 Units / -15% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 133 games (-20.81 Units / -13% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 away games (-17.50 Units / -23% ROI)
Pittsburgh Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 68 of their last 120 games (+11.04 Units / 8% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.70 Units / 21% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.45 Units / 13% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 42 games (+3.09 Units / 7% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 113 games (-27.66 Units / -21% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Team Total Over in 58 of their last 131 games (-25.61 Units / -16% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 14 games at home (-7.00 Units / -46% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 21 games (-5.86 Units / -25% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 7 games at home (-2.40 Units / -34% ROI)
MIL vs PIT Top User Picks
Milwaukee Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 9-1-0 | +27055 |
| 2 | LuckyGuy | 3-7-0 | +21010 |
| 3 | Ollywood | 4-6-0 | +19651 |
| 4 | luke44 | 2-7-1 | +18810 |
| 5 | declin005 | 5-5-0 | +18675 |
| 6 | ronebme | 7-3-0 | +18055 |
| 7 | joe pockets | 7-3-0 | +17000 |
| 8 | peede | 5-5-0 | +16645 |
| 9 | longball44 | 7-3-0 | +16480 |
| 10 | djgarcia | 7-3-0 | +16030 |
| All Brewers Money Leaders | |||
Pittsburgh Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJONES1068 | 4-5-1 | +24865 |
| 2 | ThorsHammer | 5-5-0 | +20390 |
| 3 | halfricanknight | 4-6-0 | +18418 |
| 4 | MLBFan8848 | 6-3-1 | +18105 |
| 5 | samua | 6-3-1 | +16845 |
| 6 | chefsloan7 | 5-4-1 | +16115 |
| 7 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +15140 |
| 9 | jnc3lb | 7-2-1 | +13730 |
| 10 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +13455 |
| All Pirates Money Leaders | |||