Philadelphia @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pedro Avila in today's game. Bryson Stott has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5% seasonal rate to 11.4% over the past 14 days.

The #4 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of all games today. Pedro Avila will have the handedness advantage over Alec Bohm today. Today, Alec Bohm is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.7% rate (98th percentile).

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage over Pedro Avila in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has compiled a .375 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile. In notching a .417 BABIP this year, Brandon Marsh is ranked in the 100th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pedro Avila in today's game. Kyle Schwarber has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 15.9% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 14 days. Kyle Schwarber has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 94.7-mph over the last 14 days.

Jake Cave's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage over Pedro Avila today. Jake Cave hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Jake Cave has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important ability for batting average), grading out in the 94th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.

Matt Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .285 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Carpenter has been unlucky given the .049 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Matt Carpenter ranks in the 97th percentile with a 23.5° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in MLB.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's game. Last season, Trent Grisham had an average launch angle of 15.8° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 19.8°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Nick Castellanos's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (28.5° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 15.8° seasonal figure. With a .347 BABIP this year, Nick Castellanos grades out in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 4th-worst stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching of all games today. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. There has been a significant decline in Bryce Harper's launch angle from last year's 11.7° to 8.6° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average ability. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Trea Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Trea Turner has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 46.7% over the last 7 days. Trea Turner has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.2-mph EV.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best hitter in the game. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's game. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Ha-seong Kim is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's ability is quite strong, posting a 1.55 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 90th percentile.

Gary Sanchez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.