MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Tuesday, September 16

Cristopher Sanchez is a great pitcher, but Dodgers outfielder Teoscar Hernandez has found nothing but success against the southpaw, and we're getting a great price for him to go deep tonight.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Sep 16, 2025 • 09:50 ET • 4 min read
Teoscar Hernandez Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Dodgers OF Teoscar Hernandez (37) watches as the ball leaves the park vs. the Rockies.

We have a full slate of action across the Majors today and plenty of home run possibilities looming.

My MLB player props focus on the prodigious power of Manny Machado, Eugenio Suarez, and Teoscar Hernandez on Tuesday, September 17. 

Best MLB home run props today

  • Padres Machado (+495)
  • Mariners Suarez (+429)
  • Dodgers Hernandez (+422)
  • 💲 +16330 parlay💲

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HR Prop #1: Manny Machado

+495 at DraftKings

The San Diego Padres face New York Mets right-hander Clay Holmes tonight. That’s never an easy matchup for any lineup, but Manny Machado is one hitter who has enjoyed himself against the former Yankee in the past. 

Machado is 3-for-5 lifetime vs. Holmes. The slugger has 25 bombs on the year, and has also gone deep in two straight contests, both against the Colorado Rockies over the weekend. 

The 33-year-old has 14 round-trippers off right-handed pitchers as well.

HR Prop #2: Eugenio Suarez

+429 at DraftKings

Eugenio Suarez continues to rake for the Seattle Mariners, who are looking like a scary team with the playoffs around the corner. He’s cracked 45 home runs, and I’m eyeing him to smack No. 46 tonight. The M’s face Michael Wacha of the Kansas City Royals, who returns from a brief stint on the IL.

Suarez has dominated Wacha in the past. He’s 17-for-38 with two home runs. Perhaps the power numbers aren’t huge in this matchup, but he’s batting nearly .500 against the righty. That’s absurd. 

Wacha has allowed 10 of his 13 bombs this year to right-handed batters as well, and Suarez has already gone deep three times in September.

HR Prop #3: Teoscar Hernandez

+422 at DraftKings

The most intriguing matchup for our MLB picks sees the Los Angeles Dodgers and Philadelphia Phillies clash, especially due to the matchup on the mound as Cristopher Sanchez faces Shohei Ohtani. Sanchez may be a tough pitcher for any hitter to face, but Hernandez will be looking forward to this one. 

He’s 5-for-9 against the left-hander with a pair of home runs. Hernandez is now up to 24 long balls in 2025, and he’s smacked six off southpaws. The veteran has three homers in September while batting .280. 

His power shows up a lot more at home, too. Hernandez has put 16 in the bleachers at Dodger Stadium compared to just eight on the road.

Today’s HR parlay

Manny Machado

Eugenio Suarez

Teoscar Hernandez

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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