Baltimore @ Arizona Picks & Props

The 3rd-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Chase Field. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his worse side (0) today against Zac Gallen Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adley Rutschman in today's matchup.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Anthony Santander's 21.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.1%. Posting a .354 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Anthony Santander is positioned in the 80th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Tommy Pham has been unlucky this year. His .261 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .292.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 14.4% to 19.3%. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 19.3% on the season to 30.8% over the past 14 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.274) may lead us to conclude that Adam Frazier has been unlucky this year with his .239 actual batting average.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Jace Peterson will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Flaherty in today's game. Jace Peterson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Last season, Jace Peterson had an average launch angle of 12.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.1°. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jace Peterson has suffered from bad luck this year. His .278 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Ketel Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Grading out in the 98th percentile, the hardest ball Ketel Marte has hit this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 117.1 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game. Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Over the past 14 days, Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph of late. Ryan Mountcastle has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .343 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .371 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Longoria in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Evan Longoria is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Evan Longoria will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.9°, Evan Longoria has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 21.3° figure in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. This year, Ryan O'Hearn has an average exit velocity of 91.9 mph, which ranks among the best in the majors at the 91st percentile.

Jordan Westburg has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.