Minnesota @ Texas Picks & Props
MIN vs TEX Picks
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MIN vs TEX Props
Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas
Globe Life Field grades out as the #26 park in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -13° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Dallas Keuchel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Seager today. Corey Seager hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 6th-deepest CF fences today. Despite posting a .442 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has had some very good luck given the .044 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .398.
Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Compared to his seasonal average of 22.8°, Matt Wallner has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.6° figure in the past two weeks' worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, Matt Wallner grades out in the 90th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .360. With a .370 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Matt Wallner finds himself in the 91st percentile.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Compared to his seasonal figure of 16.7°, Ryan Jeffers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3°) over the past 14 days. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 40.5% to 47.2%. Posting a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers has performed in the 92nd percentile. Posting a .382 BABIP this year, Ryan Jeffers has performed in the 94th percentile.
Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Michael A. Taylor will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery today. Michael A. Taylor has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph EV. Michael A. Taylor has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 96.5-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 13°, Michael A. Taylor has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 50° angle over the past week.
Robbie Grossman Total Hits Props • Texas
The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Dallas Keuchel. Extreme flyball bats like Robbie Grossman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Robbie Grossman will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.5°, Robbie Grossman has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 35.7° figure in the past week.
Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Adolis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game.
Jordan Luplow Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Jordan Luplow is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Jordan Luplow will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Jordan Luplow's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 30.8% to 38.7%.
Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last week, Leody Taveras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 14.3%.
Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mitch Garver ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Mitch Garver tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.
Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas
Jonah Heim has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
MIN vs TEX Trends
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 40% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 away games (+7.50 Units / 11% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+5.95 Units / 12% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 31% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.31 Units / 22% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 65 away games (-20.75 Units / -29% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 9 games (-5.40 Units / -56% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (-4.65 Units / -17% ROI)
Texas Trends
The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 67 of their last 121 games (+18.14 Units / 10% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 61 games at home (+21.45 Units / 31% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 75 of their last 125 games (+18.88 Units / 12% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 60 games at home (+14.28 Units / 20% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games at home (+12.25 Units / 17% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 53 of their last 125 games (-32.47 Units / -22% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 61 games at home (-22.55 Units / -31% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 66 games at home (-14.30 Units / -20% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 5 games at home (-5.40 Units / -67% ROI)
MIN vs TEX Top User Picks
Minnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||
Texas Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KingScorpio | 7-3-0 | +24325 |
| 2 | mojonaciosoy | 8-2-0 | +20585 |
| 3 | bigosports12 | 7-3-0 | +19655 |
| 4 | hennryh | 7-3-0 | +17895 |
| 5 | Whiteyr | 4-6-0 | +17780 |
| 6 | MexicanBettor | 5-5-0 | +16866 |
| 7 | cameleon53 | 6-4-0 | +16495 |
| 8 | DODBUCKSTEEL | 5-5-0 | +15755 |
| 9 | chensucht | 6-4-0 | +15755 |
| 10 | dude18555 | 6-4-0 | +15415 |
| All Rangers Money Leaders | |||