San Francisco @ San Diego Picks & Props
SF vs SD Picks
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Brandon Crawford Total Hits Props • San Francisco
Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Brandon Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Michael Wacha in today's game. Brandon Crawford's speed has increased this season. His 25.34 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.79 ft/sec now. Brandon Crawford has been unlucky this year, posting a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .058 deviation.
Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego
Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tristan Beck in today's game. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 6th-best batter in baseball. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco
Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Patrick Bailey has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days. Over the past 7 days, Patrick Bailey's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph lately. Over the past week, Patrick Bailey's 80% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.7%.
Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha today. Joc Pederson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco
LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha in today's game. In the last week, LaMonte Wade Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph of late. Based on Statcast metrics, LaMonte Wade Jr. is in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .357.
Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego
Ha-seong Kim is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today's game.
Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • San Diego
Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 84%. Matt Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tristan Beck in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Carpenter will hold that advantage today.
Matthew Batten Total Hits Props • San Diego
Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Matthew Batten will hold that advantage today. Matthew Batten has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 93.5-mph in the last 7 days. Matthew Batten's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 30.8% on the season to 50% in the last week's worth of games.
Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego
Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Luis Campusano's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.8%.
Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski's 90.7-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in Major League Baseball this year: 76th percentile.
Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco
Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the most humidity of the day at 79%. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wilmer Flores ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.9° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball. Checking in at the 94th percentile, Wilmer Flores has posted a .379 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
SF vs SD Trends
San Francisco Trends
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 63 games (+15.59 Units / 21% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 57 games (+12.03 Units / 18% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+5.26 Units / 14% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 57 away games (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.40 Units / 35% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 102 games (-30.42 Units / -25% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 90 games (-23.36 Units / -22% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 57 games (-21.02 Units / -31% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 57 away games (-9.65 Units / -15% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 away games (-0.80 Units / -10% ROI)
San Diego Trends
The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 126 games (+11.35 Units / 8% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 125 games (+14.25 Units / 10% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games at home (+7.15 Units / 16% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.91 Units / 18% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 games (+0.85 Units / 1% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have only hit the Team Total Over in 53 of their last 125 games (-30.06 Units / -20% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have only hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 128 games (-26.05 Units / -18% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 129 games (-18.01 Units / -11% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 29 games (-11.45 Units / -32% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have only hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 14 games (-9.00 Units / -45% ROI)
SF vs SD Top User Picks
San Francisco Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | chefsloan7 | 7-3-0 | +18210 |
| 2 | charro23 | 5-4-1 | +17850 |
| 3 | jazzmatazz | 6-4-0 | +17510 |
| 4 | alayne89 | 6-4-0 | +17150 |
| 5 | doomsday07 | 7-3-0 | +16820 |
| 6 | Huskerdave | 6-4-0 | +15895 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 8-2-0 | +15680 |
| 8 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +15400 |
| 9 | CNOTES | 7-3-0 | +14830 |
| 10 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +14695 |
| All Giants Money Leaders | |||
San Diego Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabster611 | 9-1-0 | +23405 |
| 2 | Infinite-H | 8-2-0 | +22730 |
| 3 | Bigboys9 | 6-4-0 | +20690 |
| 4 | CJONES1068 | 8-2-0 | +14925 |
| 5 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +13770 |
| 6 | Ollywood | 8-2-0 | +13087 |
| 7 | dude18555 | 5-5-0 | +13040 |
| 8 | vlkvlk2012 | 2-8-0 | +12910 |
| 9 | Moneyman00 | 6-4-0 | +12810 |
| 10 | dawoodman | 9-1-0 | +12745 |
| All Padres Money Leaders | |||