Miami @ Washington Picks & Props
MIA vs WAS Picks
MLB PicksCheck out all baseball picks and predictions
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
MIA vs WAS Consensus Picks
MIA vs WAS Props
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin today. Sporting a .270 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jesus Sanchez grades out in the 75th percentile. Jesus Sanchez has posted a .329 BABIP this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Garrett Hampson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 42.5% to 51.1%. Garrett Hampson has notched a .274 batting average this year, placing in the 84th percentile.
Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington
The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Jake Alu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. Jake Alu will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jake Alu has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph to 90.1-mph in the last 7 days.
Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington
Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today. This season, Keibert Ruiz has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.7 mph compared to last year's 88.4 mph mark. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 15.3% on the season to 30.8% in the past week.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. In the past week, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.9% up to 21.4%.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Jake Burger's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 16.8% on the season to 20% in the past week. Jake Burger has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .242 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. With a .363 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Jake Burger is ranked in the 87th percentile for offensive skills.
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The 5th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 33.6% to 40.1%.
Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carter Kieboom will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Carter Kieboom has displayed impressive power, recording a a 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power). In the past two weeks' worth of games, Carter Kieboom has averaged an impressive 99.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential. Over the last two weeks, Carter Kieboom's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 50% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.
Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami
Jacob Stallings has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jacob Stallings has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph EV.
Jon Berti Total Hits Props • Miami
Jon Berti has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington
Alex Call has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
MIA vs WAS Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+9.68 Units / 23% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.67 Units / 43% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.40 Units / 19% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 134 games (-31.20 Units / -18% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 63 of their last 134 games (-19.97 Units / -12% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 14 games (-7.95 Units / -43% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 11 games (-7.85 Units / -65% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 10 games (-5.70 Units / -46% ROI)
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+11.65 Units / 42% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 129 games (+11.15 Units / 7% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.79 Units / 51% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 36 games (-9.57 Units / -22% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 57 games at home (-6.10 Units / -10% ROI)
MIA vs WAS Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||