Miami @ Washington Picks & Props
MIA vs WAS Picks
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MIA vs WAS Consensus Picks
MIA vs WAS Props
Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Joey Meneses will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett today. Joey Meneses has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nationals Park has the shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joan Adon today. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Jesus Sanchez has posted a .328 BABIP this year.
Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Garrett Hampson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 42.5% to 51.1%. Placing in the 78th percentile, Garrett Hampson has notched a .266 batting average this year.
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Nationals Park has the shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. In the last week's worth of games, Jake Burger's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17%. Jake Burger has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .242 figure is a fair amount lower than his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Chavis Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Chavis in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Michael Chavis will have the handedness advantage against Braxton Garrett today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among every team in action today. Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nationals Park has the shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage over Joan Adon in today's game. Joey Wendle has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 86.4-mph average.
Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington
Carter Kieboom is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Carter Kieboom will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Carter Kieboom will hold that advantage in today's game.
Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Alex Call will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Call will hold that advantage today. Alex Call has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 5.5% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last week.
Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett today. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today. Riley Adams has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph EV.
Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Braxton Garrett. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Ildemaro Vargas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ildemaro Vargas's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 31.1% to 39%.
Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami
Jacob Stallings has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
MIA vs WAS Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games (+11.08 Units / 22% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.89 Units / 49% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.40 Units / 7% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.25 Units / 4% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 133 games (-32.30 Units / -18% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 62 of their last 133 games (-20.97 Units / -13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.95 Units / -53% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 10 games (-6.75 Units / -61% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 2 of their last 8 games (-5.60 Units / -55% ROI)
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+10.15 Units / 70% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 128 games (+12.45 Units / 8% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.69 Units / 45% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 35 games (-8.17 Units / -19% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 45 games at home (-5.85 Units / -12% ROI)
MIA vs WAS Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||