Texas @ New York Picks & Props

In MLB, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. D.J. Stewart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning today. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. D.J. Stewart has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 16.7% seasonal rate to 24% in the last two weeks' worth of games. In the past week's worth of games, D.J. Stewart's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.9-mph over the course of the season to 104-mph recently.

In MLB, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Rafael Ortega will have the handedness advantage against Dane Dunning today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Rafael Ortega will hold that advantage in today's game. Rafael Ortega has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 86.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 84-mph. Over the past week, Rafael Ortega's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Mitch Garver has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.8% rate last season to 14.9% this season. Mitch Garver has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.9% seasonal rate to 20% over the last two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the league. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today. Pete Alonso has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph figure.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Francisco Lindor's launch angle this year (19.1°) is a significant increase over his 13.7° angle last year.

Robbie Grossman has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.