San Diego @ St. Louis Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. Trent Grisham's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (20.2°) is significantly better than his 15.8° mark last season. Trent Grisham's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 16.6% on the season to 35.7% in the last two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's game.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Over the last week, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 21.4%. Over the past 14 days, Xander Bogaerts's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Tommy Edman is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Blake Snell. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Adam Wainwright will have the handedness advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Adam Wainwright will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today. Manny Machado pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. From last season to this one, Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 46.2% to 36.6%. In notching a .261 BABIP this year, Manny Machado grades out in the 9th percentile.

Adam Wainwright will have the handedness advantage over Ha-seong Kim today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ha-seong Kim in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Ha-seong Kim's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%. In the past week, Ha-seong Kim's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 90 mph to 87.9 mph. Ha-seong Kim's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, falling from 43.7% on the season to 36.6% in the last two weeks.

Jordan Walker's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. Jordan Walker has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.5% seasonal rate to 13% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Matt Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's game. Matt Carpenter has been unlucky this year, putting up a .277 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .053 gap. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Matt Carpenter ranks in the 97th percentile with a 24° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB. By putting up a 1.89 K/BB rate this year, Matt Carpenter has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Taylor Motter will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Taylor Motter will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Taylor Motter has experienced some negative variance this year. His .214 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .254.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Andrew Knizner will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Andrew Knizner will hold that advantage in today's game. Andrew Knizner has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.7-mph. Andrew Knizner has compiled a .341 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 75th percentile.

Matthew Batten has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.