Texas @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%. Leody Taveras has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Leody Taveras has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last week's worth of games. Leody Taveras has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 94.3-mph in the last two weeks.

Robbie Grossman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%.

Citi Field profiles as the #30 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Tylor Megill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Marcus Semien in today's game. Marcus Semien has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .278 rate is quite a bit higher than his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Mitch Garver has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 8.8% rate last year to 14.9% this year. In the last week's worth of games, Mitch Garver's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.9% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%. Adolis Garcia pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.8% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Adolis Garcia has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 92.1-mph figure.

Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%. Rafael Ortega will hold the platoon advantage against Jon Gray in today's game. Rafael Ortega will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week, Rafael Ortega's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.2-mph average.

Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%. D.J. Stewart will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jon Gray today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and D.J. Stewart will hold that advantage in today's game. D.J. Stewart has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph to 96.3-mph over the last 14 days.

Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage over Tylor Megill in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Travis Jankowski can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Travis Jankowski has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. With a 1.22 K/BB rate this year, Travis Jankowski has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 96th percentile. Ranking in the 75th percentile, Travis Jankowski sits with a .271 batting average this year.

Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game. Mark Vientos has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .227 figure is a fair amount lower than his .277 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos has an average exit velocity of 93.4 mph, which is among the best in MLB at the 97th percentile.

High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%. Omar Narvaez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jon Gray in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Omar Narvaez will hold that advantage today. Omar Narvaez's launch angle this year (21.2°) is considerably higher than his 17.1° mark last year.