Final Sep 16
ATL 6 -143 o9.0
WAS 3 +129 u9.0
Final (10) Sep 16
CLE 7 +119 o8.0
DET 5 -129 u8.0
Final Sep 16
CHC 4 +111 o6.5
PIT 1 -120 u6.5
Final Sep 16
ATH 2 +133 o8.5
BOS 1 -145 u8.5
Final (10) Sep 16
ATL 5 -177 o7.0
WAS 0 +158 u7.0
Final Sep 16
SD 3 +110 o8.0
NYM 8 -119 u8.0
Final Sep 16
TOR 6 +100 o8.0
TB 5 -108 u8.0
Final Sep 16
SEA 12 -132 o8.5
KC 5 +122 u8.5
Final Sep 16
BAL 8 +101 o8.0
CHW 7 -109 u8.0
Final Sep 16
NYY 10 -161 o9.0
MIN 9 +147 u9.0
Final Sep 16
LAA 2 +237 o8.5
MIL 9 -265 u8.5
Final Sep 16
CIN 0 -116 o8.0
STL 3 +107 u8.0
Final Sep 16
TEX 5 -116 o7.5
HOU 6 +107 u7.5
Final Sep 16
MIA 6 -135 o10.0
COL 5 +124 u10.0
Final Sep 16
SF 5 +114 o9.5
AZ 6 -124 u9.5
Final Sep 16
PHI 9 +110 o7.5
LAD 6 -119 u7.5
Bally Sports Network

Texas @ Minnesota Picks & Props

TEX vs MIN Picks

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TEX vs MIN Consensus Picks

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TEX vs MIN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Donovan Solano
D. Solano
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This year, Donovan Solano has been pulled from the game early in 51% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 12th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. In today's game, Donovan Solano is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (94th percentile). Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Donovan Solano has experienced some positive variance given the .013 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

This year, Donovan Solano has been pulled from the game early in 51% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 12th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. In today's game, Donovan Solano is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (94th percentile). Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Donovan Solano has experienced some positive variance given the .013 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

Marcus Semien
M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 12th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Bailey Ober will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien in today's game. Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Marcus Semien tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 12th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Bailey Ober will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien in today's game. Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Marcus Semien tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Matt Wallner
M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Matt Wallner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Matt Wallner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.9% up to 33.3%. Matt Wallner has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 99.3-mph in the last week's worth of games. By putting up a .330 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt Wallner has performed in the 78th percentile for hitting ability.

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Matt Wallner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Matt Wallner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.9% up to 33.3%. Matt Wallner has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 99.3-mph in the last week's worth of games. By putting up a .330 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt Wallner has performed in the 78th percentile for hitting ability.

Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Michael A. Taylor
M. Taylor
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Michael A. Taylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Michael A. Taylor will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Michael A. Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Michael A. Taylor has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph figure.

Michael A. Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Michael A. Taylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Michael A. Taylor will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Michael A. Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Michael A. Taylor has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph figure.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas

Mitch Garver
M. Garver
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mitch Garver ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Mitch Garver has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.8% rate last year to 14.9% this season.

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mitch Garver ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Mitch Garver has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.8% rate last year to 14.9% this season.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Max Kepler ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.1-mph mark. Max Kepler has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.7-mph EV.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Max Kepler ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.1-mph mark. Max Kepler has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.7-mph EV.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

Adolis Garcia
A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Adolis Garcia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph to 100.2-mph in the past 7 days.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Adolis Garcia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph to 100.2-mph in the past 7 days.

Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Kyle Farmer
K. Farmer
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Kyle Farmer will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage today. Kyle Farmer has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last season's 85.5-mph average. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) suggests that Kyle Farmer this year with his .250 actual batting average.

Kyle Farmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Kyle Farmer will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage today. Kyle Farmer has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last season's 85.5-mph average. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) suggests that Kyle Farmer this year with his .250 actual batting average.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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