Texas @ Minnesota Picks & Props
TEX vs MIN Picks
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TEX vs MIN Consensus Picks
TEX vs MIN Props
Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota
This year, Donovan Solano has been pulled from the game early in 51% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 12th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. In today's game, Donovan Solano is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (94th percentile). Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Donovan Solano has experienced some positive variance given the .013 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.
Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 12th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Bailey Ober will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien in today's game. Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Marcus Semien tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Matt Wallner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Matt Wallner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.9% up to 33.3%. Matt Wallner has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 99.3-mph in the last week's worth of games. By putting up a .330 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt Wallner has performed in the 78th percentile for hitting ability.
Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Michael A. Taylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Michael A. Taylor will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Michael A. Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Michael A. Taylor has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph figure.
Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mitch Garver ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Mitch Garver has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.8% rate last year to 14.9% this season.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Max Kepler ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.1-mph mark. Max Kepler has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.7-mph EV.
Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Adolis Garcia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph to 100.2-mph in the past 7 days.
Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Kyle Farmer will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage today. Kyle Farmer has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last season's 85.5-mph average. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) suggests that Kyle Farmer this year with his .250 actual batting average.
TEX vs MIN Trends
Texas Trends
The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 125 games (+17.69 Units / 10% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 121 games (+20.88 Units / 14% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 71 of their last 121 games (+13.57 Units / 9% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 121 games (-34.02 Units / -24% ROI)
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 58% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.20 Units / 24% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.89 Units / 33% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 116 games (-15.00 Units / -11% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 103 games (-14.20 Units / -12% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 33 games at home (-9.20 Units / -26% ROI)
TEX vs MIN Top User Picks
Texas Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KingScorpio | 7-3-0 | +24325 |
| 2 | mojonaciosoy | 8-2-0 | +20585 |
| 3 | bigosports12 | 7-3-0 | +19655 |
| 4 | hennryh | 7-3-0 | +17895 |
| 5 | Whiteyr | 4-6-0 | +17780 |
| 6 | MexicanBettor | 5-5-0 | +16866 |
| 7 | cameleon53 | 6-4-0 | +16495 |
| 8 | DODBUCKSTEEL | 5-5-0 | +15755 |
| 9 | chensucht | 6-4-0 | +15755 |
| 10 | dude18555 | 6-4-0 | +15415 |
| All Rangers Money Leaders | |||
Minnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||