New York @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 4th-worst ballpark in the majors for right-handed BABIP. Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage over Gleyber Torres in today's game. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 4th-worst ballpark in the majors for right-handed BABIP. Zack Littell will have the handedness advantage against DJ LeMahieu in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for DJ LeMahieu in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 89.1-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jonathan Aranda can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Everson Pereira has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Compiling a 97.5-mph average exit velocity in the past 7 days, Everson Pereira has been in great form of late.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Aaron Judge pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Aaron Judge has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 97.6-mph to 100.9-mph in the last 7 days. Aaron Judge has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 101.8-mph average to last season's 99.3-mph average.

Oswald Peraza has been unlucky this year, posting a .231 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .073 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Christian Bethancourt will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Christian Bethancourt generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Carlos Rodon. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Christian Bethancourt will hold that advantage today. Christian Bethancourt has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.2-mph. Christian Bethancourt has been unlucky this year, posting a .276 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .032 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luke Raley stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Luke Raley has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games. Over the last 7 days, Luke Raley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 105.9-mph lately.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Isaac Paredes will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage today. In the past week's worth of games, Isaac Paredes's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.3-mph over the course of the season to 93.8-mph in recent games.

Osleivis Basabe's batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Osleivis Basabe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Osleivis Basabe will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Rodon today. Extreme groundball bats like Osleivis Basabe are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Carlos Rodon.

Rene Pinto has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.