Los Angeles @ New York Picks & Props

In the league, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.276) implies that Mark Vientos has suffered from bad luck this year with his .228 actual wOBA. Mark Vientos's 93.4-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the league since the start of last season: 97th percentile.

The #1 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces. Over the past week, Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 87.8 mph to 84.1 mph. Compared to his seasonal angle of 12.6°, Jeff McNeil has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.5°) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

In the league, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Rafael Ortega will have the handedness advantage over Griffin Canning today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Rafael Ortega will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Rafael Ortega's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 83.7-mph over the course of the season to 96.9-mph of late. Rafael Ortega's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 14.3% on the season to 40% in the past week.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Citi Field ranks as the #30 stadium in MLB for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Shohei Ohtani stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Shohei Ohtani has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the league, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.2-mph figure.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Griffin Canning in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Drury ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Drury is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Brandon Drury will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Brandon Drury pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.9% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Eduardo Escobar is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The switch-hitting Eduardo Escobar will get to bat from his better side (0) today against David Peterson. Eduardo Escobar pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Eduardo Escobar with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Peterson who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The switch-hitting Andrew Velazquez will get to bat from his better side (0) today against David Peterson. Andrew Velazquez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Andrew Velazquez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .194 BA is deflated compared to his .215 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hunter Renfroe will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.