Washington @ Miami Picks & Props
WAS vs MIA Picks
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WAS vs MIA Consensus Picks
WAS vs MIA Props
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage today. Bryan De La Cruz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 37.5% over the last week.
Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington
Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Eury Perez in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Dominic Smith has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 85.8-mph EV.
Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Jake Alu will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. Jake Alu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Jake Alu has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 87.4-mph.
Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington
The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Alex Call hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Alex Call has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past 7 days. Alex Call has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 93.2-mph in the past week.
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. CJ Abrams has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph figure.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's game. Josh Bell's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 13.1% to 16.5%.
Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington
Carter Kieboom is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Carter Kieboom hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.
Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami
The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage in today's game. This season, Jacob Stallings has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.7 mph compared to last year's 88.3 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.274) may lead us to conclude that Jacob Stallings has had some very poor luck this year with his .251 actual wOBA.
Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. Joey Wendle will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. This season, Joey Wendle has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91.4 mph compared to last year's 86.4 mph mark.
Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington
The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Riley Adams has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 94-mph over the past 14 days. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Riley Adams has notched a .290 batting average this year.
WAS vs MIA Trends
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+11.50 Units / 83% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Run Line in 40 of their last 63 away games (+13.85 Units / 18% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.38 Units / 96% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 16 away games (-8.35 Units / -42% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-4.80 Units / -33% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 48 games (+4.73 Units / 8% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games at home (+5.59 Units / 9% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 43 games at home (+4.42 Units / 7% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 48 games at home (+4.05 Units / 8% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+3.95 Units / 6% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 129 games (-27.70 Units / -16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 63 games (-22.60 Units / -30% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 62 of their last 129 games (-16.22 Units / -10% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 51 games at home (-13.36 Units / -22% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 48 games at home (-8.80 Units / -17% ROI)
WAS vs MIA Top User Picks
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||