Los Angeles @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Carlos Carrasco will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Drury today. Brandon Drury will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Brandon Drury has been very fortunate this year. His .337 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .324.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage today.

The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest among all the teams today. Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 87.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 82.2-mph over the last week. From last season to this one, Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.7% to 11.5%.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. In the past week, Randal Grichuk's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 17.6%.

Daniel Vogelbach is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Silseth in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Daniel Vogelbach will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). D.J. Stewart will have the handedness advantage over Chase Silseth today. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. D.J. Stewart has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 17% seasonal rate to 26.1% in the last two weeks.

Logan O'Hoppe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Logan O'Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.9°, Logan O'Hoppe has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.3° angle over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Luis Rengifo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Luis Rengifo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Jonathan Arauz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Chase Silseth. Jonathan Arauz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Jonathan Arauz has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .185 mark is considerably lower than his .233 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Nimmo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Silseth today. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Omar Narvaez will have the handedness advantage against Chase Silseth in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Omar Narvaez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Chase Silseth. Omar Narvaez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Rafael Ortega will have the handedness advantage against Chase Silseth today. Rafael Ortega will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. As it relates to plate discipline, Rafael Ortega's skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.86 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 87th percentile.