Colorado @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Austin Hays is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The deepest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Chris Flexen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Hays in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams today. In the past 14 days, Austin Hays's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 3.4%.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in the majors for lefty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Chris Flexen will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Mountcastle today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams today.

Gunnar Henderson has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will be challenged by baseball's deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams today. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, falling from 42.1% on the season to 26.3% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Ezequiel Tovar has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in the majors for lefty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage against Chris Flexen in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Brendan Rodgers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game. Kyle Bradish will have the handedness advantage over Brendan Rodgers in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Brendan Rodgers is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Baltimore (#2-best of all teams today). Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brendan Rodgers in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Brenton Doyle has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph lately. Despite posting a .249 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has experienced some negative variance given the .030 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .279.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Nolan Jones is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in the majors for lefty base hits. The shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Chris Flexen The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in the majors for lefty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Charlie Blackmon will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Bradish in today's game.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in the majors for lefty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Bradish in today's game. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 17.8% on the season to 34.6% in the last 14 days.

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Elias Diaz has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.2-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 92-mph. Elias Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 41.2% to 46.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in the majors for lefty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 86°. Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ryan O'Hearn ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in the majors for lefty base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Flexen in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ramon Urias will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Ramon Urias's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.2%.

Jordan Westburg has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.