Toronto @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Kyle Gibson will have the handedness advantage over Whit Merrifield in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Whit Merrifield today. Whit Merrifield's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 87.1-mph mark last season has dropped off to 85-mph. Whit Merrifield's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 85-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 82.2-mph in the past 14 days.

The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ramon Urias has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 15.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 10°.

Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF dimensions are the deepest. Kyle Gibson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Kyle Gibson will have the handedness advantage over Bo Bichette in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Bichette in today's game. Bo Bichette has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 94.1-mph over the past 7 days. Over the past 7 days, Bo Bichette's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 49.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field fences are the shallowest. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup.

Kyle Gibson will have the handedness advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 11.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios today. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Belt in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Belt is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Belt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today.

Kevin Kiermaier's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field fences are the shallowest. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has compiled a .338 BABIP this year, ranking in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field fences are the shallowest. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Gibson in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (19.7°) is significantly higher than his 14.5° angle last year.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Chapman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson.

The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batters such as Danny Jansen with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kyle Gibson who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Compared to last season, Danny Jansen has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.6% to 20.9% this season.