Colorado @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 17.5% on the season to 29.2% over the past two weeks. Over the past 14 days, Ryan McMahon has averaged an impressive 97-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

Elehuris Montero has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Ezequiel Tovar has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 15.9% on the season to 21.4% in the past week's worth of games. Ezequiel Tovar ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (50% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jose Siri will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today's matchup. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today. In the last 7 days, Jose Siri's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14% up to 25%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.4°, Brandon Lowe has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.3° mark over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Rodgers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Brendan Rodgers has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last 7 days, Brendan Rodgers's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 16.7%. In the past week's worth of games, Brendan Rodgers's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Charlie Blackmon will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale today. Charlie Blackmon has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 89.4-mph. Charlie Blackmon's launch angle this year (19.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.1° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nolan Jones is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The 5th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Tropicana Field. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Civale in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has put up a .369 BABIP this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Brenton Doyle has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Brenton Doyle's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (22.6° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 15.8° seasonal mark. Brenton Doyle has been unlucky this year, notching a .250 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .279 — a .029 discrepancy.

Michael Toglia pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Michael Toglia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 93.4-mph over the past two weeks. In the last week, Michael Toglia's 70% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.9%.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball. Elias Diaz has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark.