San Francisco @ Philadelphia props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's game. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Ranking in the 83rd percentile, Patrick Bailey sits with a .341 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 2nd-worst venue in the game for right-handed BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report projects the least humid conditions on the schedule today at 38%. In the last 7 days, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%. In the last week, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 90.3 mph to 85.9 mph.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.220) implies that Casey Schmitt has suffered from bad luck this year with his .200 actual batting average.

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wilmer Flores pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Wilmer Flores's launch angle this year (23.9°) is a significant increase over his 20.3° angle last year. Checking in at the 95th percentile, Wilmer Flores has notched a .387 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. By putting up a .297 batting average this year, Wilmer Flores finds himself in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. LaMonte Wade Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, LaMonte Wade Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.7% up to 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wade Meckler in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Wade Meckler will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker today. Wade Meckler has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, angling balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time in the past week's worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Michael Conforto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Michael Conforto's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 43.5% on the season to 75% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 15th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP skill. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Trea Turner will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Harrison today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.

Johan Rojas will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison today. Johan Rojas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Nick Castellanos will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's game. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage today.

Bryson Stott's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 93.6-mph in the last 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.374) implies that Joc Pederson has suffered from bad luck this year with his .331 actual wOBA.

Blake Sabol has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.