Colorado @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

This year, Harold Ramirez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 29% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher. The #1 field in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Harold Ramirez hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and and will have to hit them out towards the game's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

The #1 field in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Yandy Diaz has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.8-mph dropping to 91.7-mph over the past two weeks. Yandy Diaz has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .394 rate is inflated compared to his .368 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #1 field in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Zack Littell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brendan Rodgers today. Among every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays. Brendan Rodgers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The #1 field in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) and but may find it hard to clear baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Randy Arozarena's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 93.9 mph to 86.3 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jose Siri is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Jose Siri will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty Blach in today's matchup. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage today. In the last week's worth of games, Luke Raley's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.4% up to 20%. Luke Raley has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 110.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 94.1-mph. In the past 14 days, Luke Raley has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 21.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.5°.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's game. Ryan McMahon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Ryan McMahon has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.2-mph figure. Last year, Ryan McMahon had an average launch angle of 11.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.2°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Charlie Blackmon will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Charlie Blackmon's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.4-mph in recent games. There has been a significant improvement in Charlie Blackmon's launch angle from last season's 12.1° to 19° this year.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Nolan Jones is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Jones is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field fences among all parks. Nolan Jones will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's game. Nolan Jones has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 15% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Over the last 14 days, Elehuris Montero has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.8% to 15%.

Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 13.4% to 16.4%.

Brenton Doyle has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Over the past week, Brenton Doyle's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 18.2%. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Brenton Doyle has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.8°. Despite posting a .250 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle given the .030 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .280.

Michael Toglia pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Michael Toglia has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 92.8-mph over the past two weeks. In the last week's worth of games, Michael Toglia's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.3%. Michael Toglia has been unlucky this year, posting a .228 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .058 disparity.

Osleivis Basabe's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Osleivis Basabe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty Blach in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Osleivis Basabe will hold that advantage in today's game. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Osleivis Basabe has been very consistent with his lately, posting a 32.3° launch angle standard deviation in the past week.

In Major League Baseball, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Curtis Mead will hold the platoon advantage over Ty Blach in today's matchup. Curtis Mead will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Isaac Paredes will hold the platoon advantage over Ty Blach today. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Isaac Paredes's launch angle from last season's 15.5° to 21.2° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Ezequiel Tovar has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ezequiel Tovar has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.4% seasonal rate to 14.7% over the last two weeks. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 50% on the season to 58.8% in the past 14 days.

Christian Bethancourt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty Blach today. Christian Bethancourt will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Christian Bethancourt's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph in recent games. Christian Bethancourt has been unlucky this year, notching a .275 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .031 disparity.

In Major League Baseball, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.

Rene Pinto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty Blach in today's game. Rene Pinto will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.