Kansas City @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters as the 17th-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability. Drew Waters is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The #9 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest expects the 5th-lowest temperature of all games today at 82°. Jordan Lyles will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Today, Nico Hoerner is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.9% rate (87th percentile). Out of every team today, the best infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.6°, Nico Hoerner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-10.3°) over the last 14 days.

The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense. Miguel Amaya will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's game. Seiya Suzuki has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year's 89.5-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.1% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Christopher Morel will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hendricks in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense. Ian Happ has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest expects the 5th-lowest temperature of all games today at 82°. Kyle Hendricks will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-deepest RF fences today. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the 5th-best out of all the teams on the slate today. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense. Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks in today's game. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game.

Nelson Velazquez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense. Nelson Velazquez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.7% rate last season to 19.5% this season.

Dairon Blanco's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense. Dairon Blanco's footspeed has improved this year. His 28.86 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.36 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Duffy in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Lyles in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.

Michael Massey is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense. Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Hendricks in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Michael Massey is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jeimer Candelario ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense. Jeimer Candelario will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 37.3% to 44.5%.

Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense. Mike Tauchman will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Lyles in today's game. Mike Tauchman has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense. Matt Beaty will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Hendricks in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Matt Beaty is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game.

Freddy Fermin has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Maikel Garcia has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.