Milwaukee @ Texas Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst ballpark in the game for righty base hits. Globe Life Field has the 7th-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -16° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Adrian Houser will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Semien in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Marcus Semien's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 89.9 mph to 86.4 mph.

Globe Life Field grades out as the #29 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -16° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. In today's matchup, Corey Seager is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.1% rate (91st percentile). The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corey Seager's true offensive talent to be a .401, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .044 disparity between that figure and his actual .445 wOBA.

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Rowdy Tellez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today's matchup. Despite posting a .290 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Rowdy Tellez given the .053 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .343.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Sal Frelick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer today. Extreme groundball batters like Sal Frelick are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Scherzer.

Extreme groundball batters like Robbie Grossman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser. Robbie Grossman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like William Contreras tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Scherzer. William Contreras's launch angle of late (26.7° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 3.7° seasonal figure. Grading out in the 82nd percentile, William Contreras sits with a .328 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Christian Yelich will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today's matchup. Batters such as Christian Yelich with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Scherzer who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Christian Yelich has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.3-mph average to last season's 94.1-mph figure.

Andruw Monasterio's launch angle lately (21.9° over the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 16.4° seasonal figure. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Andruw Monasterio and his 20.6% rank in the 90th percentile this year. Andruw Monasterio has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 84th percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate. Andruw Monasterio has recorded a .325 BABIP this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

In the past week, Tyrone Taylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 95.3-mph lately. Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .247 mark is a fair amount lower than his .310 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Willy Adames is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Willy Adames's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (30.5° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 22° seasonal mark. Despite posting a .302 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Willy Adames has had bad variance on his side given the .044 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .346.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Adrian Houser in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Nathaniel Lowe has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.3% to 16.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Mark Canha is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Mark Canha's launch angle of late (18.6° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 12.1° seasonal figure. When it comes to his batting average, Mark Canha has experienced some negative variance this year. His .244 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .262. As it relates to plate discipline, Mark Canha's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.67 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 84th percentile.

Extreme groundball bats like Victor Caratini usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Scherzer. Victor Caratini has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph EV. As it relates to plate discipline, Victor Caratini's talent is quite good, sporting a 2.03 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 78th percentile.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.4% to 19.1%. In notching a .273 batting average this year, Jonah Heim grades out in the 77th percentile.

Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today's game. Brice Turang's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 39.6% on the season to 60% over the last week. Brice Turang has been unlucky this year, notching a .278 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .029 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Leody Taveras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Leody Taveras has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph figure. Leody Taveras has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .261 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .292 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Carlos Santana has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last week. Over the last week, Carlos Santana's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%. When it comes to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.78 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 81st percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mitch Garver ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Extreme flyball batters like Mitch Garver generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Adrian Houser. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's game. Mitch Garver has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.8% rate last year to 13.8% this year.

Travis Jankowski is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage over Adrian Houser in today's game. Travis Jankowski will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Travis Jankowski's 45.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.1%. As it relates to plate discipline, Travis Jankowski's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.1 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 98th percentile.

Ezequiel Duran's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ezequiel Duran will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Duran ranks in the 83rd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .281. Ranking in the 96th percentile, Ezequiel Duran sits with a .371 BABIP this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Adolis Garcia will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Adolis Garcia's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.1%. Based on Statcast data, Adolis Garcia grades out in the 88th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .364.

Joey Wiemer has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.