Toronto @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best stadium in MLB for LHB batting average. The 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the majors are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best stadium in MLB for LHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Daulton Varsho's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 16.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Belt in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Belt is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best stadium in MLB for LHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Belt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's matchup.

The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams today. Spencer Steer's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 89-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 83.4-mph over the last 7 days. Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, notching a .351 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .019 gap.

When assessing his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Chapman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.9% rate last season to 17.9% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best stadium in MLB for LHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). T.J. Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and T.J. Friedl will hold that advantage in today's game. T.J. Friedl's launch angle of late (27.4° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 16.2° seasonal mark.

Joey Votto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best stadium in MLB for LHB batting average. The 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the majors are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Votto will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Hunter Greene will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Bichette today. This season, there has been a decline in Bo Bichette's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.47 ft/sec last year to 26.98 ft/sec currently. Bo Bichette's 5.4° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in the league: 6th percentile.

Hunter Greene will have the handedness advantage over Whit Merrifield in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Whit Merrifield in today's matchup. Whit Merrifield's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 85.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 79.1-mph in the last 7 days. Whit Merrifield has been cold in recent games, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) in the past 7 days. Despite posting a .336 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Whit Merrifield has experienced some positive variance given the .019 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyler Stephenson will have the handedness advantage against Hyun Jin Ryu today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt McLain will have the handedness advantage over Hyun Jin Ryu in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Danny Jansen's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (20.3°) is quite a bit better than his 15° figure last year. Danny Jansen's 11% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) ranks in the 75th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. George Springer is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Noelvi Marte will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hyun Jin Ryu in today's game. Noelvi Marte will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the handedness advantage against Hyun Jin Ryu in today's game. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Luke Maile will hold the platoon advantage over Hyun Jin Ryu in today's game. Luke Maile will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Stuart Fairchild is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Stuart Fairchild will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hyun Jin Ryu in today's game.

Cavan Biggio has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Santiago Espinal has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Will Benson has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Alejandro Kirk has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.