Arizona @ San Diego Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Scott McGough in today's game. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Trent Grisham has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 14.8% seasonal rate to 50% over the last week.

Jace Peterson will hold the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish in today's matchup. Jace Peterson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jace Peterson has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 85.9-mph mark. Jace Peterson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 42.2% on the season to 80% over the past 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.315) implies that Jace Peterson this year with his .279 actual wOBA.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish today. Placing in the 89th percentile, Corbin Carroll has put up a .363 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 6th-worst venue in the league for RHB batting average. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Scott McGough will hold the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. In the past week, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 6.3%. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph dropping to 89.7-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Over the past 7 days, Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 94-mph of late. By putting up a .353 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ketel Marte grades out in the 79th percentile.

Kyle Lewis is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Kyle Lewis has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to plate discipline, Xander Bogaerts's ability is quite good, sporting a 1.73 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 84th percentile.

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 88-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 85.4-mph average. Over the last 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 23.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.6°. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20.4%. In terms of plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo's skill is quite good, posting a 1.37 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Yu Darvish in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Christian Walker has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.7% seasonal rate to 25.8% in the past two weeks. In the past two weeks, Christian Walker's 41.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Gamel in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ben Gamel will hold the platoon advantage against Scott McGough in today's matchup. Ben Gamel hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ben Gamel will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ben Gamel has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .232 mark is quite a bit lower than his .251 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.8-mph average.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Scott McGough today. Jake Cronenworth will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jake Cronenworth has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 4.7% seasonal rate to 10.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Manny Machado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 91.9-mph over the past week.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Tommy Pham has hit one of the hardest balls in the majors in the last 7 days — 113.2-mph — which is a good measure of recent form and raw power. Tommy Pham has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .264 rate is a good deal lower than his .303 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper as the 12th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP skill. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Garrett Cooper will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 42.9% in the last week. Garrett Cooper has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.4-mph mark. Garrett Cooper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 14.3% to 19.2%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best hitter in the league. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Scott McGough today. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. In the past two weeks, Nick Ahmed's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.6-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph in recent games. Over the last 14 days, Nick Ahmed's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.293) implies that Nick Ahmed has had bad variance on his side this year with his .263 actual wOBA.

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Gary Sanchez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 15.2% seasonal rate to 29.4% in the last two weeks. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph figure. Sporting a .340 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Gary Sanchez has performed in the 76th percentile.