Chicago @ Colorado Picks & Props

Jesse Scholtens will have the handedness advantage over Ezequiel Tovar in today's matchup. Ezequiel Tovar's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 90.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 86.9-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ezequiel Tovar's true offensive skill to be a .306, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .013 difference between that figure and his actual .319 wOBA. With a .289 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ezequiel Tovar has performed in the 16th percentile. Ezequiel Tovar has displayed poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 2nd percentile with a 6.86 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jurickson Profar is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will bat from his bad side (0) today against Jesse Scholtens Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 42.3% on the season to 30% in the last two weeks. Jurickson Profar has been cold in recent games, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) over the past two weeks.

Kyle Freeland will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Benintendi today. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andrew Benintendi today. Andrew Benintendi has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph dropping to 84-mph over the last two weeks. Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.1-mph EV last season has dropped to 87.3-mph.

Among all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Andrew Vaughn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Andrew Vaughn has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 7 days. Andrew Vaughn's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 15.1% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Elvis Andrus has been pinch hit for 15% of the time. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Elvis Andrus in today's game. From last season to this one, Elvis Andrus's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 90.2 mph to 87.5 mph. Elvis Andrus's launch angle this season (6.1°) is quite a bit worse than his 11.6° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Elias Diaz has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today. Jesse Scholtens will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Elias Diaz today. In the last week, Elias Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.6% down to 0%. Elias Diaz's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 88.1-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 85.7-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yasmani Grandal in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Yasmani Grandal is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Yasmani Grandal will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Yasmani Grandal has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 5.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 14 days.

Jesse Scholtens will hold the platoon advantage against Brendan Rodgers in today's matchup. There has been a significant decline in Brendan Rodgers's launch angle from last year's 4.5° to -1.1° this year. Brendan Rodgers has struggled to lift the ball in recent games, putting up a -1.6° launch angle over the last two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lenyn Sosa ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lenyn Sosa is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Lenyn Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 90°. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among all the teams today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Elehuris Montero will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones as the 20th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nolan Jones is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #1 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 90°.

The #1 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 90°. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among all the teams today. Michael Toglia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 90°. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Zach Remillard will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Luis Robert is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 90°.

Among all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Yoan Moncada will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Yoan Moncada's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 90.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 87.7-mph over the past two weeks. Yoan Moncada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 12.2% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days. Using Statcast data, Yoan Moncada grades out in the 3rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .271.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.6°, Ryan McMahon has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.2°) in the past two weeks. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ryan McMahon has experienced some positive variance this year. His .349 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .317.

Charlie Blackmon has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 5.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week. Over the last 7 days, Charlie Blackmon's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.4%. Charlie Blackmon has been lucky this year, notching a .348 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .020 discrepancy.

The #1 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 90°. Oscar Colas has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .241 mark is a fair amount lower than his .274 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.