Pittsburgh @ Minnesota Picks & Props
PIT vs MIN Picks
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PIT vs MIN Consensus Picks
68% picking Minnesota
Total PicksPIT 121, MIN 254
73% picking Minnesota
Total PicksPIT 93, MIN 250
PIT vs MIN Props
Endy Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.7°, Endy Rodriguez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 38.8° figure in the last 7 days.
Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota
In Major League Baseball, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest. Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Correa in today's game. Carlos Correa's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 89.7-mph seasonal average has decreased to 74.9-mph over the last 7 days. Carlos Correa's launch angle of late (7.2° in the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 10.4° seasonal angle. Carlos Correa has recorded a .270 BABIP this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.
Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Sonny Gray will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ke'Bryan Hayes in today's matchup. Today, Ke'Bryan Hayes is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (80th percentile). Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ke'Bryan Hayes in today's matchup. In terms of plate discipline, Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability is quite weak, sporting a 3.81 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 20th percentile.
Ji-Hwan Bae Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Ji Hwan Bae has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 11th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ji Hwan Bae in today's game. Utilizing Statcast data, Ji Hwan Bae is in the 6th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .278. Ji Hwan Bae's 2.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 20th percentile this year. Ji Hwan Bae's 3.4° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the league: 6th percentile.
Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When assessing his BABIP skill, Edouard Julien is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game.
Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Over the last week, Liover Peguero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 15.4%. Liover Peguero has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 91-mph in the last week.
Alika Williams Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.2°, Alika Williams has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 14° figure in the last week's worth of games.
Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Michael A. Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game.
Alfonso Rivas Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.3°, Alfonso Rivas has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 68° mark over the last week.
Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
In Major League Baseball, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today's matchup.
Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller in today's game. Matt Wallner will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Matt Wallner has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 96.4-mph.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Max Kepler is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage today.
Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Connor Joe's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 86.8-mph in the past week. Connor Joe's launch angle this year (16.2°) is significantly higher than his 10.1° angle last season.
Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Donovan Solano will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Donovan Solano has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph mark.
Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Royce Lewis's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Royce Lewis is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Joey Gallo Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Joey Gallo will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller in today's game. Joey Gallo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Joey Gallo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 99.9-mph.
Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Christian Vazquez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. In the past week, Christian Vazquez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.2% up to 11.1%. Christian Vazquez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .262 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .300 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jason Delay Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Jason Delay grades out in the 78th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (45.9% rate since the start of last season).
Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Henry Davis has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
Joshua Palacios Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Joshua Palacios has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Jordan Luplow Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Jordan Luplow has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
PIT vs MIN Trends
Pittsburgh Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games (+4.34 Units / 17% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 59 of their last 101 games (+13.75 Units / 12% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.70 Units / 41% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.39 Units / 15% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 114 games (-28.30 Units / -21% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 45 away games (-7.85 Units / -15% ROI)
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+8.80 Units / 36% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.85 Units / 16% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 56% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 119 games (-22.80 Units / -16% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 50 of their last 119 games (-17.65 Units / -10% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 96 games (-15.00 Units / -14% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 28 games at home (-6.00 Units / -20% ROI)
PIT vs MIN Top User Picks
Pittsburgh Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJONES1068 | 4-5-1 | +24865 |
| 2 | ThorsHammer | 5-5-0 | +20390 |
| 3 | halfricanknight | 4-6-0 | +18418 |
| 4 | MLBFan8848 | 6-3-1 | +18105 |
| 5 | samua | 6-3-1 | +16845 |
| 6 | chefsloan7 | 5-4-1 | +16115 |
| 7 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +15140 |
| 9 | jnc3lb | 7-2-1 | +13730 |
| 10 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +13455 |
| All Pirates Money Leaders | |||
Minnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||