Arizona @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today. Trent Grisham has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week.

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 87.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 85.4-mph average. Geraldo Perdomo's launch angle in recent games (21.2° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 16.1° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo today. Corbin Carroll has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Ketel Marte has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 91.2-mph. In the past 14 days, Ketel Marte has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .361.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today. Alek Thomas has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .233 figure is deflated compared to his .254 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Over the last 14 days, Christian Walker has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11.4% to 22.6%. Christian Walker has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.2-mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Juan Soto generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt.

The #6 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 94.6 mph to 86.3 mph. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle of late (-4.4° in the past 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 10.6° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today. Xander Bogaerts has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 91.6-mph.

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Gary Sanchez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.4% to 33.3%. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89.8-mph mark. In the last two weeks, Gary Sanchez's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph of late.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last week, Manny Machado's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 93.2 mph to 91.1 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Over the past 14 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s 46.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.3%.