Houston @ Miami Picks & Props
HOU vs MIA Picks
MLB PicksCheck out all baseball picks and predictions
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
HOU vs MIA Consensus Picks
74% picking Houston
Total PicksHOU 218, MIA 76
73% picking Houston
Total PicksHOU 134, MIA 50
67% picking Houston
Total PicksHOU 157, MIA 77
67% picking Houston
Total PicksHOU 68, MIA 33
HOU vs MIA Props
Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Today, Luis Arraez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.6% rate (97th percentile). The Houston Astros outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best out of every team playing today. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 84.9-mph over the past 14 days.
Chas McCormick Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Chas McCormick is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Chas McCormick will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.
Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Alex Bregman will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and moreover, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.
Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Houston
The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. In the last week's worth of games, Martin Maldonado's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 92.6 mph to 86.1 mph. Martin Maldonado's launch angle this season (17.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.1° figure last year.
Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jose Altuve ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jose Altuve will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.
Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Yainer Diaz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. Yainer Diaz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split.
Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Miami
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage in today's game. Jorge Soler has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 95.4-mph in the past week.
Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston
Kyle Tucker projects as the 15th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #8 field in the league for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kyle Tucker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Nick Fortes will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .052 difference.
Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in baseball. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #8 field in the league for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Last season, Yordan Alvarez had an average launch angle of 12.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.4°.
Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Mauricio Dubon will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and moreover, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Mauricio Dubon hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.
Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. Jeremy Pena will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #8 field in the league for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today's matchup. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jazz Chisholm Jr. can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Jon Berti Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jon Berti will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jon Berti's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 42.3% on the season to 48% over the last two weeks. By putting up a .336 BABIP this year, Jon Berti finds himself in the 86th percentile.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. In MLB, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. Bryan De La Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Bryan De La Cruz's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 16.7%.
Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
LoanDepot Park ranks as the #8 field in the league for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Justin Verlander today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jesus Sanchez will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Sporting a .277 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Jesus Sanchez finds himself in the 79th percentile.
Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #8 field in the league for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage over Justin Verlander in today's matchup. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.
HOU vs MIA Trends
Houston Trends
The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 56 away games (+7.80 Units / 11% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 away games (+5.59 Units / 12% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 98 games (+4.40 Units / 4% ROI)
The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 48 games (+3.75 Units / 6% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 away games (+3.15 Units / 10% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 120 games (-15.30 Units / -11% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 100 games (-14.20 Units / -13% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 43 games (-13.75 Units / -23% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 72 games (-12.36 Units / -15% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 53 games (-11.85 Units / -19% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games at home (+4.95 Units / 7% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+7.25 Units / 12% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+5.98 Units / 19% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games at home (+5.84 Units / 10% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 53% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 55 games (-19.15 Units / -29% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 62 games at home (-9.90 Units / -15% ROI)
HOU vs MIA Top User Picks
Houston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +25682 |
| 2 | MLBFan8848 | 6-4-0 | +19240 |
| 3 | vlkvlk2012 | 5-5-0 | +19170 |
| 4 | Enelra18 | 7-3-0 | +18580 |
| 5 | sleeper2239 | 6-4-0 | +17535 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 6-4-0 | +17160 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 6-4-0 | +16230 |
| 8 | DarthRaider27 | 4-6-0 | +16035 |
| 9 | ewatson15 | 7-3-0 | +15815 |
| 10 | mdterrrps | 7-3-0 | +13795 |
| All Astros Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||