Arizona @ Colorado Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Nick Ahmed ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nick Ahmed is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today. Nick Ahmed has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 35% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Slade Cecconi will have the handedness advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today's game. Sporting a .282 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ezequiel Tovar has performed in the 10th percentile. As it relates to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's skill is quite poor, sporting a 7.12 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 2nd percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today's game. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 47% to 39.3%.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. From last season to this one, Christian Walker's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 41.6% to 36%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.329) provides evidence that Christian Walker has been lucky this year with his .370 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 95°. Alek Thomas has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 94.2-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Slade Cecconi will have the handedness advantage against Elias Diaz in today's matchup. Elias Diaz has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 83.3-mph in the past 14 days. Elias Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 45.2% on the season to 21.4% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Trejo in the 4th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Alan Trejo is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Slade Cecconi will hold the platoon advantage over Alan Trejo in today's game. Despite posting a .286 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alan Trejo has been lucky given the .014 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .272.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Slade Cecconi will hold the platoon advantage against Brendan Rodgers today. Brendan Rodgers's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 90.4-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.6-mph over the last 7 days. There has been a significant decline in Brendan Rodgers's launch angle from last season's 4.5° to -4.2° this year. By putting up a .292 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Brendan Rodgers finds himself in the 25th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Charlie Blackmon's true offensive talent to be a .326, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .016 deviation between that mark and his actual .342 wOBA. Charlie Blackmon's 86.1-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the game this year: 7th percentile.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 95°. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's game.

Jurickson Profar's BABIP skill is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will bat from his worse side (0) today against Slade Cecconi Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 16.2% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Jurickson Profar has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the past 14 days.

Nolan Jones's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Jones is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 95°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Austin Gomber will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Carroll today. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corbin Carroll today. Corbin Carroll has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 95°. Michael Toglia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Michael Toglia has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 92.8-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the game for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 95°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Elehuris Montero will hold that advantage today. In the last week's worth of games, Elehuris Montero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 33.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the game for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 95°. The switch-hitting Jose Herrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Austin Gomber.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the game for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 95°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best park in the game for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 95°. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Austin Wynns will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Austin Wynns has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 85.7-mph average to last year's 83.7-mph mark.

Gabriel Moreno has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Geraldo Perdomo has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.