Philadelphia @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #5 stadium in the league for suppressing BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today. Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage against Whit Merrifield today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Whit Merrifield's true offensive ability to be a .316, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .025 disparity between that figure and his actual .341 wOBA. Whit Merrifield's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to evaluate power) has been 104.6 mph this year, placing in the 1st percentile.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #26 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryce Harper today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Kyle Schwarber hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The #5 stadium in the league for suppressing BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today. Kevin Gausman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Bohm today.

The #5 stadium in the league for suppressing BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today. Aaron Nola will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 95.4-mph seasonal average has decreased to 89.8-mph over the last two weeks. Compared to his seasonal angle of 9°, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.3°) over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Nick Castellanos has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past week's worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Belt ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Belt is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Brandon Belt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 90.1-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 19th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Trea Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Trea Turner has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph figure. Trea Turner's launch angle this season (13.3°) is significantly higher than his 9.7° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats. In the last week's worth of games, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.7% up to 22.2%. J.T. Realmuto has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 94-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Jake Cave hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Jake Cave's 44.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.1%.

Cavan Biggio is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Cavan Biggio will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game. Cavan Biggio will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today's game. Santiago Espinal has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 87.6-mph EV.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Danny Jansen's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (20.3°) is a significant increase over his 15° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Alejandro Kirk will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .305 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk has experienced some negative variance given the .032 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. George Springer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game.