Pittsburgh @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst park in the majors for right-handed batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Tylor Megill will hold the platoon advantage against Ke'Bryan Hayes in today's matchup. Ke'Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. In terms of plate discipline, Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability is quite weak, putting up a 3.92 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 18th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liover Peguero in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Citi Field. Over the past 14 days, Liover Peguero's maximum exit velocity (a favorable measure of recent form and raw power) has been 110.2-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball. Liover Peguero is notably fast, checking in at the 97th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.68 ft/sec this year.

Alika Williams hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

The #1 park in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today's game. Over the past week, Bryan Reynolds's 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.3%.

The shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Citi Field. D.J. Stewart will hold the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and D.J. Stewart will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Johan Oviedo today. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's game.

The shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Citi Field. Endy Rodriguez's launch angle of late (24.5° over the past week) is a considerable increase over his 18.3° seasonal figure.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the game. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Pete Alonso's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 109.6-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Citi Field. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In comparison to his 89.3-mph average last year, Francisco Lindor's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.8 mph.

Connor Joe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Connor Joe hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. Connor Joe's launch angle this year (16.1°) is significantly better than his 10.1° mark last year. Over the last 14 days, Connor Joe has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 35.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.1°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Andrew McCutchen pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Andrew McCutchen's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 43.5% to 48.8%. In the last 14 days, Andrew McCutchen's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.8%.

Jack Suwinski is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Citi Field. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage over Tylor Megill today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jack Suwinski has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 12.3% rate last season to 18.8% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage against Johan Oviedo in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Daniel Vogelbach is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach will have the handedness advantage over Johan Oviedo today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Daniel Vogelbach has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93.5-mph.

Henry Davis is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Henry Davis has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark. In the last week, Henry Davis's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.2%. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck this year. His .302 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .332.

Omar Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage over Johan Oviedo today. Omar Narvaez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Omar Narvaez will hold that advantage today. The Barrel% of Omar Narvaez has significantly improved, with an increase from 2.5% last year to 8.2% this year. There has been a significant improvement in Omar Narvaez's launch angle from last season's 17.1° to 23.6° this season.

Jared Triolo has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.