Houston @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #7 park in the majors for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today. There has been a significant improvement in Martin Maldonado's launch angle from last year's 14.1° to 17.5° this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Martin Maldonado's true offensive ability to be a .274, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .023 gap between that figure and his actual .251 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #8 park in the majors for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today. Last year, Chas McCormick had an average launch angle of 18.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 24°. Over the past 7 days, Chas McCormick's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.8%.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Luis Arraez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will be challenged by baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences today. The Houston Astros outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of every team today. Luis Arraez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 84.4-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #8 park in the majors for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 39.1% on the season to 60% in the past week's worth of games.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Tucker in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Kyle Tucker's 9.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

Jeremy Pena's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). LoanDepot Park ranks as the #8 park in the majors for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today. Jeremy Pena has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .254 BA is quite a bit lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jorge Soler is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #8 park in the majors for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jorge Soler will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Jorge Soler has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 96.2-mph in the last 7 days.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best park in the game for left-handed base hits. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Johnny Cueto in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today.

Bryan De La Cruz's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). LoanDepot Park ranks as the #8 park in the majors for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage today. In the past week, Bryan De La Cruz's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 18.2%.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Johnny Cueto will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve today. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and and will be challenged by MLB's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Johnny Cueto will hold the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Posting a 7.63 K/BB rate this year, Yainer Diaz has demonstrated poor plate discipline, ranking in the 1st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best park in the game for left-handed base hits. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Cristian Javier today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jesus Sanchez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Jesus Sanchez has put up a .276 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best park in the game for left-handed base hits. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Cristian Javier today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jazz Chisholm Jr. can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best park in the game for left-handed base hits. Joey Wendle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme flyball bats like Joey Wendle are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristian Javier.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #8 park in the majors for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage today. This season, Jacob Stallings has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93 mph compared to last year's 88.3 mph mark.

Jon Berti has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.